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Alro (BSE:ALR) Beneish M-Score : -4.68 (As of May. 18, 2024)


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What is Alro Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.68 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alro's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSE:ALR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -13.8   Med: -2.7   Max: 36.95
Current: -4.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alro was 36.95. The lowest was -13.80. And the median was -2.70.


Alro Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alro's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alro Beneish M-Score Chart

Alro Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.99 -13.80 -3.78 -1.94 -4.08

Alro Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.12 -7.66 -4.79 -4.08 -4.68

Competitive Comparison of Alro's Beneish M-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alro's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alro's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alro's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alro's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alro Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alro for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.1529+0.528 * -0.9351+0.404 * 2.774+0.892 * 0.9096+0.115 * 0.9568
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9718+4.679 * -0.21271-0.327 * 1.1152
=-4.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was lei94 Mil.
Revenue was 803.567 + 608.27 + 682.834 + 768.532 = lei2,863 Mil.
Gross Profit was 14.537 + -87.065 + -78.173 + -16.082 = lei-167 Mil.
Total Current Assets was lei1,675 Mil.
Total Assets was lei2,959 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was lei917 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was lei141 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was lei194 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was lei730 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was lei1,142 Mil.
Net Income was -14.858 + -167.094 + -229.763 + -111.148 = lei-523 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = lei0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 147.456 + -135.071 + 233.95 + -139.775 = lei107 Mil.
Total Receivables was lei677 Mil.
Revenue was 790.081 + 583.711 + 739.791 + 1034.162 = lei3,148 Mil.
Gross Profit was -35.044 + -50.494 + 45.607 + 211.394 = lei171 Mil.
Total Current Assets was lei2,487 Mil.
Total Assets was lei3,739 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was lei1,085 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was lei159 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was lei220 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was lei1,493 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was lei628 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(94.151 / 2863.203) / (676.927 / 3147.745)
=0.032883 / 0.215051
=0.1529

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(171.463 / 3147.745) / (-166.783 / 2863.203)
=0.054472 / -0.05825
=-0.9351

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1674.826 + 917.382) / 2959.069) / (1 - (2487.051 + 1084.796) / 3738.951)
=0.123979 / 0.044693
=2.774

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2863.203 / 3147.745
=0.9096

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(158.92 / (158.92 + 1084.796)) / (141.405 / (141.405 + 917.382))
=0.127778 / 0.133554
=0.9568

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(194.428 / 2863.203) / (219.956 / 3147.745)
=0.067906 / 0.069877
=0.9718

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1141.664 + 730.094) / 2959.069) / ((627.824 + 1492.942) / 3738.951)
=0.63255 / 0.567209
=1.1152

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-522.863 - 0 - 106.56) / 2959.069
=-0.21271

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alro has a M-score of -4.68 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alro (BSE:ALR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
116, Pitesti Street, Olt County, Slatina, ROU, 230048
Alro SA is an aluminum producer. The company organizes its operations into four segments: Bauxite, Alumina, Primary Aluminium, and Processed Aluminium. The Bauxite segment is operating in Sierra Leone (Africa) and consists of SMHL, GAL and BML. The Alumina segment uses bauxite to produce alumina, the main raw material for electrolytic aluminium production. The Primary Aluminium segment, which mainly includes the anodes section, electrolysis section, the Casting House and Aluminium Eco Recycling Facility sections, manufactures and sells products like wire, rod, slabs and occasionally ingots. The Processed Aluminium segment, which includes Alro's Processed Aluminium section and Vimetco Extrusion, produces and sells sheets, coils, plates, and extruded products.