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Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) Beneish M-Score : -1.55 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.55 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:CSACOL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.19   Med: -2.04   Max: 0.16
Current: -1.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Celsia Colombia ESP was 0.16. The lowest was -3.19. And the median was -2.04.


Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score Chart

Celsia Colombia ESP Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.13 -2.31 -1.88 -2.07 -2.90

Celsia Colombia ESP Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.19 -3.07 -2.00 -2.90 -1.55

Competitive Comparison of Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Celsia Colombia ESP for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7346+0.528 * 1.2363+0.404 * 0.8807+0.892 * 1.1018+0.115 * 2.0356
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1581+4.679 * 0.004742-0.327 * 1.0768
=-1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was COP1,620,975 Mil.
Revenue was 1336742.691 + 1613669.724 + 1375912.59 + 1424745.559 = COP5,751,071 Mil.
Gross Profit was 270291.695 + 373107.002 + 310404.704 + 413354.853 = COP1,367,158 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP2,124,384 Mil.
Total Assets was COP12,530,421 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP9,816,325 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP80,050 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP60,003 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP3,862,601 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP3,164,156 Mil.
Net Income was 24969.708 + 146531.857 + 64785.248 + 95979.768 = COP332,267 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = COP0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 0 + 0 + 272845.913 = COP272,846 Mil.
Total Receivables was COP848,197 Mil.
Revenue was 1356927.127 + 1622639.351 + 1164103.889 + 1076219.599 = COP5,219,890 Mil.
Gross Profit was 445595.442 + 385780.736 + 327089.804 + 375663.663 = COP1,534,130 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP1,277,227 Mil.
Total Assets was COP11,211,988 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP9,335,649 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP156,291 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP47,025 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP2,033,392 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP3,805,419 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1620975.145 / 5751070.564) / (848197.092 / 5219889.966)
=0.281856 / 0.162493
=1.7346

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1534129.645 / 5219889.966) / (1367158.254 / 5751070.564)
=0.293901 / 0.237722
=1.2363

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2124383.994 + 9816325.202) / 12530421.456) / (1 - (1277226.726 + 9335648.907) / 11211987.711)
=0.047062 / 0.053435
=0.8807

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5751070.564 / 5219889.966
=1.1018

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(156291.487 / (156291.487 + 9335648.907)) / (80050.418 / (80050.418 + 9816325.202))
=0.016466 / 0.008089
=2.0356

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(60002.975 / 5751070.564) / (47025.285 / 5219889.966)
=0.010433 / 0.009009
=1.1581

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3164155.732 + 3862601.358) / 12530421.456) / ((3805419.461 + 2033392.41) / 11211987.711)
=0.560776 / 0.520765
=1.0768

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(332266.581 - 0 - 272845.913) / 12530421.456
=0.004742

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Celsia Colombia ESP has a M-score of -1.55 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Calle 15 No. 29B 30 Autopista, Valle del Cauca, Cali, Yumbo, COL
Celsia Colombia SA ESP is engaged in the generation of hydroelectric energy. The company engages in generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity. Its power generation plants include Run-of-the-river that uses river's flow to generate electricity; and Reservoir that generates energy through stored water. The company's produced electricity is sold to wholesale markets (energy market), regulated market (small consumers) and non-regulated market (large consumers). Revenue for the company is derived from the production and sale of electricity.

Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) Headlines

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