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NCL International Logistics PCL (BKK:NCL) Beneish M-Score : -3.79 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is NCL International Logistics PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for NCL International Logistics PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:NCL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.79   Med: -2.42   Max: -1.37
Current: -3.79

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of NCL International Logistics PCL was -1.37. The lowest was -3.79. And the median was -2.42.


NCL International Logistics PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NCL International Logistics PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NCL International Logistics PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

NCL International Logistics PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.06 -3.08 -1.58 -2.41 -3.69

NCL International Logistics PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.85 -3.40 -3.58 -3.69 -3.79

Competitive Comparison of NCL International Logistics PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, NCL International Logistics PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NCL International Logistics PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, NCL International Logistics PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NCL International Logistics PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



NCL International Logistics PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of NCL International Logistics PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9374+0.528 * 1.8393+0.404 * 1.3783+0.892 * 0.4138+0.115 * 1.005
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.6542+4.679 * -0.202916-0.327 * 1.2858
=-3.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿105.9 Mil.
Revenue was 161.597 + 149.294 + 150.984 + 173.669 = ฿635.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 19.61 + -35.076 + 30.404 + 34.23 = ฿49.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿167.1 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿927.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿259.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿46.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿308.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿457.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿99.6 Mil.
Net Income was -35.986 + -186.453 + -103.605 + -14.188 = ฿-340.2 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 5.288 + -19.639 + -86.651 + 19.2 = ฿-81.8 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -32.418 + -54.462 + -8.7 + 25.362 = ฿-70.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿273.0 Mil.
Revenue was 214.033 + 324.321 + 436.42 + 561.099 = ฿1,535.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 47.946 + 71.044 + 35.843 + 63.713 = ฿218.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿497.3 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿1,253.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿265.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿47.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿280.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿427.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿157.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(105.901 / 635.544) / (273.004 / 1535.873)
=0.16663 / 0.177752
=0.9374

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(218.546 / 1535.873) / (49.168 / 635.544)
=0.142294 / 0.077364
=1.8393

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (167.132 + 259.864) / 927.537) / (1 - (497.307 + 265.111) / 1252.987)
=0.539645 / 0.39152
=1.3783

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=635.544 / 1535.873
=0.4138

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(47.633 / (47.633 + 265.111)) / (46.417 / (46.417 + 259.864))
=0.152307 / 0.15155
=1.005

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(308.237 / 635.544) / (280.645 / 1535.873)
=0.484997 / 0.182727
=2.6542

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((99.553 + 457.375) / 927.537) / ((157.939 + 427.163) / 1252.987)
=0.600438 / 0.466966
=1.2858

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-340.232 - -81.802 - -70.218) / 927.537
=-0.202916

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

NCL International Logistics PCL has a M-score of -3.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


NCL International Logistics PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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NCL International Logistics PCL (BKK:NCL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
56/9-10 Soi Taksin 12/1, Somdejprachaotaksin Road, Bukkalo, Thonburi, Bangkok, THA, 10600
NCL International Logistics PCL is engaged in providing logistics management services, including international freight forwarding, customs broker, inland transportation, multimodal transport operator and all freight related services for imports and exports. It has four business segments that are Land Transportation, Freight Forwarder, Non-Vessel Common Carrier, and Producing and distributing dialysis. The Freight Forwarder segment generates maximum revenue for the company.

NCL International Logistics PCL (BKK:NCL) Headlines

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