CIMB Thai Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of CIMB Thai Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.8586 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0005 | + | 0.892 * 0.9924 | + | 0.115 * 0.9428 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0.9905 | + | 4.679 * -0.013173 | - | 0.327 * 1.3046 |
| = | -2.78 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was ฿60,148 Mil.
Revenue was 2649.459 + 3165.349 + 3329.659 + 3544.487 = ฿12,689 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2649.459 + 3165.349 + 3329.659 + 3544.487 = ฿12,689 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿0 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿508,976 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿3,660 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿718 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿4,271 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿118,890 Mil.
Net Income was -131.026 + 367.416 + 538.749 + 830.132 = ฿1,605 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ฿0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 32661.815 + -9540.538 + 8321.265 + -23132.596 = ฿8,310 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was ฿70,591 Mil.
Revenue was 2379.991 + 3603.679 + 3621.594 + 3180.583 = ฿12,786 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2379.991 + 3603.679 + 3621.594 + 3180.583 = ฿12,786 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿0 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿495,785 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿3,790 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿694 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿4,345 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿88,766 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (60148.146 / 12688.954) | / | (70590.871 / 12785.847) |
| = | 4.740197 | / | 5.521016 |
| | = | 0.8586 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (12785.847 / 12785.847) | / | (12688.954 / 12688.954) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 3660) / 508976.345) | / | (1 - (0 + 3790) / 495785.393) |
| = | 0.992809 | / | 0.992356 |
| | = | 1.0005 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 12688.954 | / | 12785.847 |
| | = | 0.9924 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (693.525 / (693.525 + 3790)) | / | (718.365 / (718.365 + 3660)) |
| = | 0.154683 | / | 0.164072 |
| | = | 0.9428 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (4271.487 / 12688.954) | / | (4345.467 / 12785.847) |
| = | 0.33663 | / | 0.339865 |
| | = | 0.9905 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((118889.55 + 0) / 508976.345) | / | ((88766.431 + 0) / 495785.393) |
| = | 0.233586 | / | 0.179042 |
| | = | 1.3046 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (1605.271 - 0 | - | 8309.946) | / | 508976.345 |
| | = | -0.013173 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
CIMB Thai Bank has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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