Bank Bradesco Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Bank Bradesco for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9654 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0222 | + | 0.892 * 1.0243 | + | 0.115 * 0.8646 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.044 | + | 4.679 * 0.009103 | - | 0.327 * 0.9716 |
| = | -2.45 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Mar24) TTM: | Last Year (Mar23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $4,626 Mil.
Revenue was 5024.862 + 5267.336 + 4972.444 + 5051.189 = $20,316 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5024.862 + 5267.336 + 4972.444 + 5051.189 = $20,316 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $75,311 Mil.
Total Assets was $392,803 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,142 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,320 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $8,364 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7,124 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $73,491 Mil.
Net Income was 827.532 + 292.897 + 688.435 + 827.497 = $2,636 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3551.001 + -16532.953 + 16111.567 + -4068.833 = $-939 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was $4,678 Mil.
Revenue was 4958.588 + 4995.792 + 4615.477 + 5263.073 = $19,833 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4958.588 + 4995.792 + 4615.477 + 5263.073 = $19,833 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $73,009 Mil.
Total Assets was $351,098 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,343 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,152 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $7,821 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7,653 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $66,511 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (4626.106 / 20315.831) | / | (4678.153 / 19832.93) |
| = | 0.227709 | / | 0.235878 |
| | = | 0.9654 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (19832.93 / 19832.93) | / | (20315.831 / 20315.831) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (75310.731 + 2142.165) / 392802.616) | / | (1 - (73008.554 + 2342.603) / 351098.476) |
| = | 0.80282 | / | 0.785385 |
| | = | 1.0222 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 20315.831 | / | 19832.93 |
| | = | 1.0243 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (1151.981 / (1151.981 + 2342.603)) | / | (1319.934 / (1319.934 + 2142.165)) |
| = | 0.329648 | / | 0.381253 |
| | = | 0.8646 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (8363.645 / 20315.831) | / | (7820.742 / 19832.93) |
| = | 0.411681 | / | 0.394331 |
| | = | 1.044 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((73490.811 + 7123.564) / 392802.616) | / | ((66510.947 + 7652.816) / 351098.476) |
| = | 0.205229 | / | 0.211234 |
| | = | 0.9716 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (2636.361 - 0 | - | -939.218) | / | 392802.616 |
| | = | 0.009103 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Bank Bradesco has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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