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AZN (AstraZeneca) Beneish M-Score : -2.71 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is AstraZeneca Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.71 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AstraZeneca's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AZN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.12   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.07
Current: -2.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AstraZeneca was -2.07. The lowest was -3.12. And the median was -2.60.


AstraZeneca Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AstraZeneca's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AstraZeneca Beneish M-Score Chart

AstraZeneca Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.54 -2.07 -2.63 -2.67

AstraZeneca Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.72 -2.67 -2.66 -2.71

Competitive Comparison of AstraZeneca's Beneish M-Score

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, AstraZeneca's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AstraZeneca's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, AstraZeneca's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AstraZeneca's Beneish M-Score falls into.



AstraZeneca Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AstraZeneca for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9017+0.528 * 0.9514+0.404 * 0.9835+0.892 * 1.1045+0.115 * 1.1848
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9614+4.679 * -0.044326-0.327 * 1.0209
=-2.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $11,047 Mil.
Revenue was 12938 + 12679 + 12024 + 11492 = $49,133 Mil.
Gross Profit was 10755 + 10461 + 9716 + 9397 = $40,329 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $25,393 Mil.
Total Assets was $104,340 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $10,833 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $4,690 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $18,603 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $28,566 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $28,174 Mil.
Net Income was 1927 + 2179 + 960 + 1374 = $6,440 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3085 + 2486 + 2380 + 3114 = $11,065 Mil.
Total Receivables was $11,092 Mil.
Revenue was 11416 + 10879 + 11207 + 10982 = $44,484 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9456 + 8974 + 8307 + 8000 = $34,737 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $22,839 Mil.
Total Assets was $96,543 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $9,624 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $5,366 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $17,519 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $26,375 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $25,051 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11047 / 49133) / (11092 / 44484)
=0.224839 / 0.249348
=0.9017

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(34737 / 44484) / (40329 / 49133)
=0.780888 / 0.820813
=0.9514

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (25393 + 10833) / 104340) / (1 - (22839 + 9624) / 96543)
=0.652808 / 0.663746
=0.9835

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=49133 / 44484
=1.1045

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5366 / (5366 + 9624)) / (4690 / (4690 + 10833))
=0.357972 / 0.302132
=1.1848

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18603 / 49133) / (17519 / 44484)
=0.378625 / 0.393827
=0.9614

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((28174 + 28566) / 104340) / ((25051 + 26375) / 96543)
=0.543799 / 0.532675
=1.0209

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6440 - 0 - 11065) / 104340
=-0.044326

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AstraZeneca has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


AstraZeneca Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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AstraZeneca Business Description

Address
1 Francis Crick Avenue, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, GBR, CB2 0AA
A merger between Astra of Sweden and Zeneca Group of the United Kingdom formed AstraZeneca in 1999. The firm sells branded drugs across several major therapeutic classes, including gastrointestinal, diabetes, cardiovascular, respiratory, cancer, immunology and rare diseases. The majority of sales come from international markets with the United States representing close to one third of its sales.

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