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Avon Products (Avon Products) Beneish M-Score : -2.13 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Avon Products Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.13 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avon Products's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AVP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.37   Med: -2.48   Max: -1.79
Current: -2.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Avon Products was -1.79. The lowest was -4.37. And the median was -2.48.


Avon Products Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avon Products's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avon Products Beneish M-Score Chart

Avon Products Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.08 -2.50 -2.41 -2.06 -2.28

Avon Products Quarterly Data
Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.07 -1.99 -2.33 -2.28 -2.13

Competitive Comparison of Avon Products's Beneish M-Score

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Avon Products's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avon Products's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Avon Products's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avon Products's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Avon Products Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Avon Products for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3759+0.528 * 1.003+0.404 * 0.7747+0.892 * 0.8524+0.115 * 0.9041
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0244+4.679 * -0.099981-0.327 * 1.2532
=-2.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $369 Mil.
Revenue was 590.5 + 728.8 + 663.9 + 713.2 = $2,696 Mil.
Gross Profit was 352.1 + 419.2 + 368.2 + 403.5 = $1,543 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,117 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,074 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $412 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $67 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,658 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,580 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,720 Mil.
Net Income was -120 + -131.9 + -124.1 + -74.9 = $-451 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -7.5 + -46.8 + -5.7 + -9.3 = $-69 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -158.4 + 53.2 + 5.5 + -74.5 = $-174 Mil.
Total Receivables was $315 Mil.
Revenue was 663.3 + 814.8 + 768.3 + 917 = $3,163 Mil.
Gross Profit was 371.7 + 465 + 447 + 532 = $1,816 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,087 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,366 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $475 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $69 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,899 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,986 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,017 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(369.3 / 2696.4) / (314.9 / 3163.4)
=0.13696 / 0.099545
=1.3759

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1815.7 / 3163.4) / (1543 / 2696.4)
=0.573971 / 0.572244
=1.003

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1116.8 + 411.6) / 2074.4) / (1 - (1087 + 474.8) / 2365.5)
=0.263209 / 0.339759
=0.7747

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2696.4 / 3163.4
=0.8524

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(68.6 / (68.6 + 474.8)) / (66.8 / (66.8 + 411.6))
=0.126242 / 0.139632
=0.9041

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1658.3 / 2696.4) / (1899.2 / 3163.4)
=0.615005 / 0.600367
=1.0244

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1719.8 + 1579.6) / 2074.4) / ((1016.6 + 1985.6) / 2365.5)
=1.590532 / 1.269161
=1.2532

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-450.9 - -69.3 - -174.2) / 2074.4
=-0.099981

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Avon Products has a M-score of -2.92 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Avon Products Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Avon Products (Avon Products) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Nunn Mills Road, Lancaster House, Northampton, GBR, NN1 5PA
Avon Products Inc is a firm which manufactures and sells beauty and related products. Avon's product mix consists of beauty (cosmetics, fragrances, and skin care), fashion (accessories and apparel), and home (home products and gifts). Generating, a majority of its revenue from Beauty. The company's geographic operating segments includes Avon International and Avon Latin America.
Executives
Gustavo Arnal officer: Executive Vice President, CFO C/O AVON PRODUCTS, INC., 1 AVON PLACE, SUFFERN NY 10901
Fernandez Calero Miguel Angel officer: Global President 800 W. OLYMPIC BLVD. SUITE 406, LOS ANGELES CA 90015
James A Mitarotonda director 888 SEVENTH AVENUE 17TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10019
Chan Galbato director 191 E NORTH AVENUE, CAROL STREAM IL 60188
Nancy Killefer director 3170 FAIRVIEW PARK DRIVE, FALLS CHURCH VA 22042
Helen Mccluskey director 2211 REDDING ROAD, FAIRFIELD CT 06430
Lenard Tessler director C/O ALBERTSONS COMPANIES, INC., 250 E. PARKCENTER BLVD., BOISE ID 83706
W Don Cornwell director
Susan J Kropf director C/O AVON PRODUCTS INC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105-0196
Cathy D Ross director 901 44TH STREET SE, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49508
James E Thompson officer: Senior Vice President 250 EAST FIFTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Charles H Noski director ONE PICKWICK PLAZA, GREENWICH CT 06830
Steven F Mayer director 11812 SAN VICENTE BLVD. # 300, LOS ANGELES CA 90049
Sherilyn S Mccoy director, officer: CEO JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
James S Scully officer: EVP, COO C/O J. CREW GROUP, INC., 770 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10003