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National for Tourism Hotels (ADX:NCTH) Beneish M-Score : -2.46 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ADX:NCTH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.53   Max: 2.04
Current: -2.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National for Tourism Hotels was 2.04. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.53.


National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score Chart

National for Tourism Hotels Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.95 -2.56 -2.40 -2.62 -2.46

National for Tourism Hotels Semi-Annual Data
Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.95 -2.56 -2.40 -2.62 -2.46

Competitive Comparison of National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score

For the Lodging subindustry, National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National for Tourism Hotels's Beneish M-Score falls into.



National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National for Tourism Hotels for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0793+0.528 * 0.831+0.404 * 1.0841+0.892 * 0.9417+0.115 * 1.0639
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.005332-0.327 * 0.9346
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was د.إ135.5 Mil.
Revenue was د.إ669.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ96.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ577.8 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ2,847.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ1,981.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ28.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ213.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ351.0 Mil.
Net Income was د.إ68.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was د.إ52.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was د.إ133.3 Mil.
Revenue was د.إ710.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was د.إ85.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ607.3 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ2,830.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ1,958.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ29.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ242.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ358.1 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(135.522 / 669.204) / (133.33 / 710.598)
=0.202512 / 0.187631
=1.0793

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(85.252 / 710.598) / (96.619 / 669.204)
=0.119972 / 0.144379
=0.831

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (577.773 + 1981.536) / 2847.875) / (1 - (607.331 + 1958.563) / 2830.456)
=0.101327 / 0.09347
=1.0841

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=669.204 / 710.598
=0.9417

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(29.656 / (29.656 + 1958.563)) / (28.177 / (28.177 + 1981.536))
=0.014916 / 0.01402
=1.0639

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 669.204) / (0 / 710.598)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((351.004 + 213.306) / 2847.875) / ((358.126 + 241.964) / 2830.456)
=0.198151 / 0.212012
=0.9346

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(68.082 - 0 - 52.896) / 2847.875
=0.005332

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National for Tourism Hotels has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


National for Tourism Hotels Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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National for Tourism Hotels (ADX:NCTH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Airport Road, P.O. Box 6942, Abu Dhabi, ARE
National Corp for Tourism Hotels owns, manages, and invests in hotels and leisure complexes. The company's operating segment include Hotels, Retail Services, Catering Services, and the Holding segment. Catering segment provides catering services on a contract basis. The Hotels segment provides room and food and beverages services to customers. Retail services segment provides beverages sales services to its customers. It generates maximum revenue from the Catering Services segment. Geographically, it operates only in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). It owns four hotels within the UAE: Abu Dhabi InterContinental Hotel, Danat Al Ain Resort.

National for Tourism Hotels (ADX:NCTH) Headlines

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