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Air Canada (Air Canada) Beneish M-Score : -2.94 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Air Canada Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.94 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air Canada's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ACDVF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.8   Med: -2.84   Max: 14.96
Current: -2.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Air Canada was 14.96. The lowest was -8.80. And the median was -2.84.


Air Canada Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Air Canada's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Air Canada Beneish M-Score Chart

Air Canada Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.85 -3.12 -2.13 -3.16 -2.94

Air Canada Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.92 -2.91 -2.81 -2.94 -2.94

Competitive Comparison of Air Canada's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Air Canada's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air Canada's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air Canada's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air Canada's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Air Canada Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Air Canada for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9398+0.528 * 0.6884+0.404 * 0.9953+0.892 * 1.1683+0.115 * 0.9869
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9943+4.679 * -0.087898-0.327 * 0.9231
=-2.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $875 Mil.
Revenue was 3860.816 + 3857.335 + 4688.493 + 4084.751 = $16,491 Mil.
Gross Profit was 783.836 + 778.921 + 1805.484 + 1299.865 = $4,668 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,204 Mil.
Total Assets was $21,952 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $8,879 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,277 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,253 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,503 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,310 Mil.
Net Income was -59.84 + 137.15 + 923.805 + 630.739 = $1,632 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 6.649 + 112.552 + 16.259 + 92.579 = $228 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1176.123 + 734.198 + 301.53 + 1121.481 = $3,333 Mil.
Total Receivables was $797 Mil.
Revenue was 3571.585 + 3444.976 + 3989.804 + 3109.185 = $14,116 Mil.
Gross Profit was 683.33 + 618.329 + 1102.032 + 346.767 = $2,750 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,509 Mil.
Total Assets was $22,273 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $8,781 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,244 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,079 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7,590 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $10,890 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(875.443 / 16491.395) / (797.34 / 14115.55)
=0.053085 / 0.056487
=0.9398

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2750.458 / 14115.55) / (4668.106 / 16491.395)
=0.194853 / 0.283063
=0.6884

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7203.753 + 8879.285) / 21951.832) / (1 - (7509.318 + 8780.969) / 22272.893)
=0.267349 / 0.268605
=0.9953

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=16491.395 / 14115.55
=1.1683

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1244.296 / (1244.296 + 8780.969)) / (1277.314 / (1277.314 + 8879.285))
=0.124116 / 0.125762
=0.9869

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1252.997 / 16491.395) / (1078.597 / 14115.55)
=0.075979 / 0.076412
=0.9943

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8309.693 + 8503.251) / 21951.832) / ((10890.156 + 7590.441) / 22272.893)
=0.765902 / 0.829735
=0.9231

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1631.854 - 228.039 - 3333.332) / 21951.832
=-0.087898

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Air Canada has a M-score of -2.94 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Air Canada Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Air Canada (Air Canada) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7373 Cote Vertu Boulevard West, Air Canada Centre, Saint-Laurent, QC, CAN, H4S 1Z3
Air Canada is Canada's largest airline, generally serving nearly 50 million passengers each year together with its low-cost sub-brand called Rouge and contracts for regional connection flights to its network. Air Canada is a sixth freedom airline, similar to Gulf carriers, which flies many U.S. nationals on long-haul trips with a layover in Canada. In 2022, the company generated CAD 16.6 billion in total revenue, down from CAD 19 billion in 2019 as the airline is still recovering from the pandemic and related travel restrictions.