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Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (XTER:BMW) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €233.79 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €233.79. The stock price of Bayerische Motoren Werke AG is €73.44. Therefore, Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:BMW' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.28   Med: 1.98   Max: 42.46
Current: 0.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Bayerische Motoren Werke AG was 42.46. The lowest was 0.28. And the median was 1.98.

XTER:BMW's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
90.75% of 908 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 0.985 vs XTER:BMW: 0.31

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.42 79.34 152.72 284.64 358.84

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 218.61 234.75 358.84 236.82 233.79

Competitive Comparison of Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €5,010.72.

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*5010.72+90915*0.8)/629.639
=233.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Bayerische Motoren Werke AG  (XTER:BMW) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=73.44/233.7920525823
=0.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Business Description

Address
Petuelring 130, Munich, BY, DEU, 80809
In addition to being one of the world's leading premium light-vehicle manufacturers, BMW Group produces BMW motorcycles and provides financial services. Premium light-vehicle brands include BMW, Mini, and ultraluxury brand Rolls-Royce. Operations include 31 production facilities in 15 countries, research and development facilities in 17 countries, and a sales network reaching over 140 countries. In 2023, worldwide sales volume was over 2.5 million automobiles and over 209,000 motorcycles.

Bayerische Motoren Werke AG Headlines

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