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Aoyama Trading Co (TSE:8219) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円4,083.00 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Aoyama Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-26), Aoyama Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円4,083.00. The stock price of Aoyama Trading Co is 円1481.00. Therefore, Aoyama Trading Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aoyama Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8219' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 0.47   Max: 0.77
Current: 0.37

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aoyama Trading Co was 0.77. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.47.

TSE:8219's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
82.88% of 730 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.81 vs TSE:8219: 0.37

Aoyama Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aoyama Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aoyama Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aoyama Trading Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3,741.01 3,004.48 3,354.83 3,807.65 4,083.00

Aoyama Trading Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3,807.65 - - - 4,083.00

Competitive Comparison of Aoyama Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Aoyama Trading Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aoyama Trading Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Aoyama Trading Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aoyama Trading Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Aoyama Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aoyama Trading Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円6,496.14.

Aoyama Trading Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*6496.1428571429+177125*0.8)/49.852
=4,083.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aoyama Trading Co  (TSE:8219) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aoyama Trading Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1481.00/4082.9969513282
=0.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aoyama Trading Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Aoyama Trading Co (TSE:8219) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1-3-5 Ojimachi, Hiroshima Prefecture, Fukuyama, JPN, 721-8556
Aoyama Trading Co Ltd is an apparel retailer specializing in business wear. Men's business wear accounts for roughly two thirds of the company's total sales, while women's business wear accounts for roughly 10%. Business wear stores include Yofuku-no-Aoyama, which is the company's primary brand and has nearly 800 locations; The Suit Company; and Next Blue. Other business segments include casual wear, with store brands including Universal Language and Calaja; credit cards; printing and media; and total repair service, which includes the company's Mister Minit stores, providing repair services such as shoe repair and key duplication. Aoyama's sales are primarily in Japan, but the firm has business throughout the Asia-Pacific region.

Aoyama Trading Co (TSE:8219) Headlines

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