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Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円1,885.02 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Mitsubishi Chemical Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-12), Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円1,885.02. The stock price of Mitsubishi Chemical Group is 円907.30. Therefore, Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4188' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.35   Med: 0.48   Max: 0.78
Current: 0.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Mitsubishi Chemical Group was 0.78. The lowest was 0.35. And the median was 0.48.

TSE:4188's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
87.35% of 1075 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.25 vs TSE:4188: 0.48

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,651.55 1,596.70 1,912.70 1,893.30 1,908.92

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,840.10 1,908.92 1,860.08 1,931.29 1,885.02

Competitive Comparison of Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Mitsubishi Chemical Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円151,641.12.

Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*151641.12+1702189*0.8)/1488.272
=1,885.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mitsubishi Chemical Group  (TSE:4188) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Mitsubishi Chemical Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=907.30/1885.0236911034
=0.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mitsubishi Chemical Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-1 Marunouchi 1-chome, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-8251
Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corp is a holdings company, which manufactures and sells chemicals, plastics, and pharmaceuticals. It organizes itself into three segments based on product. The Industrial Materials segment, which generates the majority of revenue, sells chemicals and polymers, including industrial gases, petrochemicals, thermoplastics, polyethylene, and polypropylene. The Performance Products segment sells electronics and designed materials, including LED lighting and equipment, specialty chemicals, polyester and industrial films, and fibers. The Health Care segment sells pharmaceuticals to treat autoimmune diseases, diabetes and kidney diseases, central nervous system treatments, and vaccines. The majority of revenue comes from Japan.

Mitsubishi Chemical Group (TSE:4188) Headlines

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