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Hotai Motor Co (TPE:2207) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : NT$-325.19 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Hotai Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-27), Hotai Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is NT$-325.19. The stock price of Hotai Motor Co is NT$611.00. Therefore, Hotai Motor Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hotai Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hotai Motor Co was 215.77. The lowest was 6.77. And the median was 12.24.

TPE:2207's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Vehicles & Parts industry.
Industry Median: 1.04
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Hotai Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hotai Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hotai Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Hotai Motor Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 54.70 70.31 -12.48 -230.73 -318.99

Hotai Motor Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -262.33 -305.05 -311.61 -318.99 -325.19

Competitive Comparison of Hotai Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Hotai Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hotai Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hotai Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hotai Motor Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Hotai Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hotai Motor Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = NT$-24,397.10.

Hotai Motor Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5858149152102*-24397.10192+65720.278*0.8)/557.494
=-325.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hotai Motor Co  (TPE:2207) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hotai Motor Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=611.00/-325.18714295157
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hotai Motor Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Hotai Motor Co (TPE:2207) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 121 Sung Chiang Road, 8th-14th Floor, Taipei, TWN
Hotai Motor Co Ltd is an automobile distribution company domiciled in Taiwan. The company distributes new and used passenger vehicles under the Toyota and Lexus brands; commercial vehicles, including trucks, under the Toyota and HINO brands; and Toyota industrial equipment. It earns more than half its sales from HINO- and Toyota-branded products. In addition to vehicle sales, Hotai Motor provides leasing and financing services, insurance, vehicle accessories, and vehicle servicing. Its segments include the Distributor of Toyota and Hino products segments, Installment trading, Leasing, Property insurance, overseas sales agent and other segments. It has operations across both Taiwan and mainland China, with the vast majority of revenue derived domestically.

Hotai Motor Co (TPE:2207) Headlines

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