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TOP Ships (TOP Ships) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-414.60 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is TOP Ships Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-24), TOP Ships's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-414.60. The stock price of TOP Ships is $13.73. Therefore, TOP Ships's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for TOP Ships's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TOPS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.82
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

TOP Ships Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for TOP Ships's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TOP Ships Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

TOP Ships Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -553,481.00 -6,961.99 -4,580.42 -3,418.92 -414.60

TOP Ships Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4,580.42 - -3,418.92 - -414.60

Competitive Comparison of TOP Ships's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, TOP Ships's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TOP Ships's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, TOP Ships's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TOP Ships's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



TOP Ships Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get TOP Ships's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-93.75.

TOP Ships's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-93.753714285714+183.38*0.8)/1.799
=-414.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TOP Ships  (AMEX:TOPS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

TOP Ships's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=13.73/-414.59940157178
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TOP Ships Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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TOP Ships (TOP Ships) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » TOP Ships Inc (AMEX:TOPS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Vasilisis Sofias and Megalou Alexandrou Street, Maroussi, GRC, 15124
TOP Ships Inc owns tanker vessels throughout the world. The company focuses on the transportation of petroleum products (clean and dirty) and bulk liquid chemicals. It generates revenue from the Time Charter agreements.
Executives
Ronin Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 350 N. ORLEANS, SUITE 2N, CHICAGO IL 60654