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Roku (ROKU) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $19.47 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Roku Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Roku's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.47. The stock price of Roku is $64.08. Therefore, Roku's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Roku's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ROKU' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.52   Med: 4.47   Max: 6.29
Current: 3.29

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Roku was 6.29. The lowest was 2.52. And the median was 4.47.

ROKU's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
88.67% of 618 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 0.895 vs ROKU: 3.29

Roku Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Roku's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Roku Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Roku Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - - 16.12 16.43

Roku Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.22 16.43 17.21 18.00 19.47

Competitive Comparison of Roku's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Entertainment subindustry, Roku's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Roku's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Roku's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Roku's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Roku Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Roku's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $57.36.

Roku's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*57.36176+2460.51*0.8)/144.862
=19.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Roku  (NAS:ROKU) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Roku's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=64.08/19.473401942253
=3.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Roku Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Roku's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Roku Business Description

Address
1155 Coleman Avenue, San Jose, CA, USA, 95110
Roku enables consumers to stream television programming. It has more than 80 million streaming households and provided well over 100 billion streaming hours in 2023. Roku is the top streaming operating system in the US, reaching more than half of broadband households, according to the company. Roku's OS is built into streaming devices and televisions that Roku sells and on connected televisions from other manufacturers that license Roku's name and software. Roku also operates the Roku Channel, a free, ad-supported streaming television platform that offers a mix of on-demand and live television programming. Roku generates revenue primarily from selling devices, licensing, and advertising, and it receives fees from subscription streaming platforms that sell subscriptions through Roku.
Executives
Dan Jedda officer: CFO C/O STITCH FIX, INC., 1 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 1500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Charles Collier officer: President, Roku Media 1155 COLEMAN AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Anthony J. Wood director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman BOD C/O ROKU, INC., 150 WINCHESTER CIRCLE, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Matthew C. Banks officer: VP, Corp Controller & CAO 1155 COLEMAN AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Gilbert Fuchsberg officer: SVP, Corporate Development 1155 COLEMAN AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Stephen H Kay officer: SVP General Counsel, Secretary 6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD., 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Mai Fyfield director C/O ROKU, INC., 150 WINCHESTER CIRCLE, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Jeffrey M Blackburn director PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226
Mustafa Ozgen officer: President, Devices 150 WINCHESTER CIRCLE, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Gidon Katz officer: President, Consumer Experience 1155 COLEMAN AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Ray A. Rothrock director 3340 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Ravi Ahuja director C/O TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY FOX, INC., 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Gina Luna director 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Laurie Simon Hodrick director C/O 655 BROAD STREET, NEWARK NJ 07102
Jeff Hastings director AVID TECHNOLOGY, INC., ONE PARK WEST, TEWKSBURY MA 01876