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MTG (MGIC Investment) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $45.20 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is MGIC Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), MGIC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $45.20. The stock price of MGIC Investment is $25.04. Therefore, MGIC Investment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for MGIC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MTG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31   Med: 0.49   Max: 11.91
Current: 0.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of MGIC Investment was 11.91. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 0.49.

MTG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
62.5% of 392 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.705 vs MTG: 0.55

MGIC Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for MGIC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MGIC Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

MGIC Investment Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.08 25.15 29.43 35.24 41.60

MGIC Investment Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.75 39.46 41.60 43.45 45.20

Competitive Comparison of MGIC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, MGIC Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MGIC Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, MGIC Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MGIC Investment's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



MGIC Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get MGIC Investment's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $663.06.

MGIC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.018181128481*663.05808+5116.921*0.8)/266.872
=45.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MGIC Investment  (NYSE:MTG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

MGIC Investment's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=25.04/45.198780329681
=0.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MGIC Investment Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MGIC Investment's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MGIC Investment Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
250 E. Kilbourn Avenue, MGIC Plaza, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53202
MGIC Investment Corp provides private mortgage insurance, other mortgage credit risk management solutions, and ancillary services. The insurance premiums that these customers pay for the protection accounts for close to majority of the company's total revenue. Investment income accounts for the remaining revenue. The company sells its insurance products in all 50 states of the United States and in Puerto Rico. Its greatest exposure is in California, Florida, Texas, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia and New York.
Executives
Michael Leal Thompson director 4 BRIDGET COURT, BURR RIDGE IL 60527
Analisa M Allen director 250 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Teresita M. Lowman director 2235 ENTERPRISE STREET #110, ESCONDIDO CA 92029
Jodee A Kozlak director 1000 NICOLLET MALL, TPS-3255, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Jay C. Hartzell director 250 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Sheryl L. Sculley director 250 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Gary A. Poliner director C/O MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 250 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Daniel A. Arrigoni director C/O MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 250 E KILBOURN AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
James J. Hughes officer: SVP-Sales & Bus. Development C/O MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 250 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Michael E Lehman director
Julie K. Sperber officer: VP-Controller & Chief Acct Off MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 250 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Patrick Sinks officer: Executive Vice President 250 E KILBOURN AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Steven M. Thompson officer: EVP&CRO-Mort Gty Ins Corp 250 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Nathaniel H Colson officer: Executive Vice President & CFO C/O MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 250 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Robert J Candelmo officer: SVP-Chief Information Officer 250 EAST KILBOURN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202