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MSI (Motorola Solutions) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $101.48 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Motorola Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Motorola Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $101.48. The stock price of Motorola Solutions is $449.35. Therefore, Motorola Solutions's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 4.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Motorola Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MSI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.29   Med: 2.88   Max: 4.46
Current: 4.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Motorola Solutions was 4.46. The lowest was 1.29. And the median was 2.88.

MSI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
84.37% of 1638 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.42 vs MSI: 4.43

Motorola Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Motorola Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Motorola Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Motorola Solutions Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 57.78 58.03 84.34 89.57 108.71

Motorola Solutions Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 83.99 91.22 108.71 97.19 101.48

Competitive Comparison of Motorola Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Motorola Solutions's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Motorola Solutions's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Motorola Solutions's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Motorola Solutions's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Motorola Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Motorola Solutions's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,566.40.

Motorola Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.623553629896*1566.4+802*0.8)/170.300
=101.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Motorola Solutions  (NYSE:MSI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Motorola Solutions's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=449.35/101.48170526054
=4.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Motorola Solutions Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Motorola Solutions's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Motorola Solutions Business Description

Industry
Address
500 West Monroe Street, Suite 4400, Chicago, IL, USA, 60661
Motorola Solutions is a leading provider of communications and analytics, primarily serving public safety departments as well as schools, hospitals, and businesses. The bulk of the firm's revenue comes from sales of land mobile radios and radio network infrastructure, but the firm also sells surveillance equipment and dispatch software. Most of Motorola's revenue comes from government agencies, while roughly 25% comes from schools and private businesses. Motorola has customers in over 100 countries and in every state in the United States.
Executives
Cynthia Yazdi officer: SVP, Communications & Brand 500 WEST MONROE STREET, CHICAGO IL 60661
Gregory Q Brown director, officer: Chairman and CEO 500 WEST MONROE ST., CHICAGO IL 60661
Jason J Winkler officer: EVP and CFO 500 WEST MONROE STREET, CHICAGO IL 60661
James A Niewiara officer: SVP, GENERAL COUNSEL MOTOROLA SOLUTIONS, INC., 500 WEST MONROE ST., CHICAGO IL 60661
John P Molloy officer: EVP and COO 500 WEST MONROE ST., CHICAGO IL 60661
Rajan Naik officer: SVP, Strategy & Ventures 500 WEST MONROE STREET, CHICAGO IL 60661
Kenneth D Denman director
Karen E Dunning officer: SVP, Human Resources MOTOROLA SOLUTIONS, INC., 500 WEST MONROE ST., CHICAGO IL 60661
Katherine A Maher officer: CVP and CAO 500 WEST MONROE ST., CHICAGO IL 60661
Mark S. Hacker officer: EVP, GC & Chief Admin Officer 500 WEST MONROE ST., CHICAGO IL 60661
Joseph M Tucci director EMC CORPORATION, 176 SOUTH STREET, HOPKINTON MA 01748
Clayton M Jones director 400 COLLINS ROAD NE, CEDAR RAPIDS IA 52498
Judy C Lewent director PO BOX 100, WHITEHOUSE STATION NJ 08889
Ayanna Howard director 111 MCINNIS PARKWAY, SAN RAFAEL CA 94903
Mahesh Saptharishi officer: EVP and CTO 500 WEST MONROE ST., CHICAGO IL 60661