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Cherkizovo Group PJSC (MIC:GCHE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ₽3,548.57 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Cherkizovo Group PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-22), Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₽3,548.57. The stock price of Cherkizovo Group PJSC is ₽5010.00. Therefore, Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MIC:GCHE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.59   Med: 0.95   Max: 1.42
Current: 1.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cherkizovo Group PJSC was 1.42. The lowest was 0.59. And the median was 0.95.

MIC:GCHE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
58.91% of 1234 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.14 vs MIC:GCHE: 1.41

Cherkizovo Group PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cherkizovo Group PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cherkizovo Group PJSC Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,725.18 2,177.30 2,258.13 3,048.09 3,548.57

Cherkizovo Group PJSC Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2,258.13 2,386.63 3,048.09 2,854.08 3,548.57

Competitive Comparison of Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cherkizovo Group PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₽3,640.37.

Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*3640.366+119653*0.8)/42.222
=3,548.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cherkizovo Group PJSC  (MIC:GCHE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cherkizovo Group PJSC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5010.00/3548.5741504724
=1.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cherkizovo Group PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Cherkizovo Group PJSC (MIC:GCHE) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1, Cherkizovskaya Street, Topkanovo Village, Kashira, Moscow, RUS, 142931
Cherkizovo Group PJSC is an integrated diversified meat producer in the Russian Federation. Its business segments are Meat Processing, Chicken, Pork, Grain, and Other. The company generates maximum revenue from the Poultry segment. Its Poultry segment operations consist of breeding, raising and processing broilers, as well as sales of chilled and frozen chicken products. The Meat processing segment operations include the production of two distinct product lines: the Sausages product line, which comprises a wide range of processed meat products, including sausages, ham, hot dogs, and the Pork product line, which comprises production and sales of pork meat.

Cherkizovo Group PJSC (MIC:GCHE) Headlines

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