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M (Macy's) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $32.55 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Macy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Macy's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $32.55. The stock price of Macy's is $15.34. Therefore, Macy's's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Macy's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

M' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.17   Med: 0.52   Max: 1.32
Current: 0.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Macy's was 1.32. The lowest was 0.17. And the median was 0.52.

M's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
72.43% of 740 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.77 vs M: 0.47

Macy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Macy's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Macy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Macy's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.04 35.66 44.91 46.47 42.06

Macy's Quarterly Data
Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.64 35.66 42.06 34.06 32.55

Competitive Comparison of Macy's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Department Stores subindustry, Macy's's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Macy's's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Macy's's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Macy's's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Macy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Macy's's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $601.12.

Macy's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*601.12+4303*0.8)/281.600
=32.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Macy's  (NYSE:M) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Macy's's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.34/32.547136901159
=0.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Macy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Macy's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Macy's Business Description

Industry
Address
151 West 34th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Founded in 1858 and based in New York City, Macy's operates about 500 stores under the Macy's nameplate, nearly 60 stores under the Bloomingdale's (full-price and outlet) and Bloomie's nameplates, and 157 freestanding Bluemercury specialty beauty stores. Macy's also operates e-commerce sites and licenses Bloomingdale's stores in the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Women's apparel, accessories, shoes, cosmetics, and fragrances composed 62% of Macy's 2023 sales.
Executives
Paul Griscom officer: Interim Principal Acctg. Offr. C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
Adrian V Mitchell officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Danielle L. Kirgan officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Antony Spring officer: Chairman & CEO, Bloomingdale's C/O MACY'S, INC., 7 WEST SEVENTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Jeffrey Gennette officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Garcia C Elisa D officer: Chief Legal Officer 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Naveen K. Chopra director C/O 2160 GOLD STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Emilie Arel director C/O CASPER SLEEP INC., 175 GREENWICH ST., THREE WORLD TRADE CENTER, FLOOR 39, NEW YORK NY 10007
Jill Granoff director LIZ CLAIBORNE, INC., 1441 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10018
Marie A Chandoha director C/O THE CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION, 211 MAIN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Ashley Buchanan director C/O THE MICHAELS COMPANIES, INC., 8000 BENT BRANCH DRIVE, IRVING TX 75063
Tracey Zhen director C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
John T. Harper officer: Chief Operations Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul C Varga director 850 DIXIE HIGHWAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40210
Felicia Williams officer: EVP,Controller/Enterprise Risk C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001