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LULU (Lululemon Athletica) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $116.06 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $116.06. The stock price of Lululemon Athletica is $297.99. Therefore, Lululemon Athletica's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LULU' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.03   Med: 3.82   Max: 7.45
Current: 2.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lululemon Athletica was 7.45. The lowest was 2.03. And the median was 3.82.

LULU's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
87.57% of 740 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.77 vs LULU: 2.57

Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Lululemon Athletica Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 47.71 57.70 77.09 82.52 116.00

Lululemon Athletica Quarterly Data
Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 85.21 88.76 116.00 110.31 116.06

Competitive Comparison of Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Lululemon Athletica's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lululemon Athletica's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lululemon Athletica's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lululemon Athletica's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lululemon Athletica's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $757.99.

Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*757.9896+4031.645*0.8)/124.857
=116.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lululemon Athletica  (NAS:LULU) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lululemon Athletica's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=297.99/116.06119510918
=2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Lululemon Athletica Business Description

Address
1818 Cornwall Avenue, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6J 1C7
Lululemon Athletica designs, distributes, and markets athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women, men, and girls. Lululemon offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for both leisure and athletic activities such as yoga and running. The company also sells fitness accessories, such as bags, yoga mats, and equipment. Lululemon sells its products through more than 700 company-owned stores in about 20 countries, e-commerce, outlets, and wholesale accounts. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Executives
Calvin Mcdonald director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Morfitt Martha A M director P.O. BOX 1441, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1441
Meghan Frank officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Nicole Neuburger officer: Chief Brand Officer C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Celeste Burgoyne officer: Pres Americas&Global Guest C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Shane Grant director C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Michelle Sun Choe officer: Chief Product Officer C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
David M Mussafer director C/O ADVENT INTERNATIONAL CORP, 75 STATE ST 29TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02104
Isabel Mahe director ONE APPLE PARK WAY, MS169:2CL, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Kathryn Henry director C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA, INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Kourtney Gibson director C/O MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC., 55 HUDSON YARDS, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Alison Loehnis director C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J1C7
Andre Maestrini officer: EVP, International C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Stephanie Ferris director C/O VANTIV, INC., 8500 GOVERNORS HILL DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45249
Martin Michael Casey director

Lululemon Athletica Headlines

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