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NCC Group (LSE:NCC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : £1.60 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is NCC Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-21), NCC Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £1.60. The stock price of NCC Group is £1.35. Therefore, NCC Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for NCC Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:NCC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.57   Med: 1.61   Max: 2.12
Current: 0.84

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of NCC Group was 2.12. The lowest was 0.57. And the median was 1.61.

LSE:NCC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.92% of 1280 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.62 vs LSE:NCC: 0.84

NCC Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for NCC Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NCC Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

NCC Group Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.17 1.23 1.44 1.52 1.60

NCC Group Semi-Annual Data
May14 Nov14 May15 Nov15 May16 Nov16 May17 Nov17 May18 Nov18 May19 Nov19 May20 Nov20 May21 Nov21 May22 Nov22 May23 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.52 - 1.60 -

Competitive Comparison of NCC Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Application subindustry, NCC Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NCC Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, NCC Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NCC Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



NCC Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get NCC Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = £28.57.

NCC Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (May23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5858149152102*28.571428571429+278.2*0.8)/311.200
=1.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NCC Group  (LSE:NCC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

NCC Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.35/1.5952455853113
=0.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NCC Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NCC Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NCC Group (LSE:NCC) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2 Hardman Boulevard, XYZ Building, Spinningfields, Manchester, GBR, M3 3AQ
NCC Group PLC is a U.K.-based provider of information assurance software solutions to the transportation, finance, retail, Internet of Things, and oil and gas end markets. The firm's operations are organized in below divisions: Assurance, which offers security and risks consulting services; group escrow, which offers software escrow services with a third-party agent; and domain services, which maintains and publishes trust security standards. Roughly half of the firm's revenue is generated in the United Kingdom, with the rest coming from Europe and the rest of the world.

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