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Leaf Group (Leaf Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-1.80 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Leaf Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-21), Leaf Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-1.80. The stock price of Leaf Group is $8.49. Therefore, Leaf Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Leaf Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LEAF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Interactive Media industry.
Industry Median: 1.23
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Leaf Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Leaf Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Leaf Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Leaf Group Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.22 5.45 1.51 -2.44 -0.78

Leaf Group Quarterly Data
Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.93 -2.40 -1.96 -0.78 -1.80

Competitive Comparison of Leaf Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Leaf Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Leaf Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Leaf Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Leaf Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Leaf Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Leaf Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-12.95.

Leaf Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-12.95216+73.823*0.8)/35.784
=-1.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Leaf Group  (NYSE:LEAF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Leaf Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.49/-1.7955152338249
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Leaf Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Leaf Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Leaf Group (Leaf Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1655 26th Street, Santa Monica, CA, USA, 90404
Leaf Group Ltd is a diversified consumer internet company that builds enduring, creator-driven brands that reach passionate audiences in large and growing lifestyle categories, including fitness and wellness and home, art and design. The company operates in three segments: Society6 Group, Saatchi Art Group, and Media Group. Society6 Group is made-to-order marketplace business and includes Society6.com and its wholesale channel. Saatchi Art Group which includes SaatchiArt.com and its complementary art fair event brand, The Other Art Fair which is online art gallery with a focus on emerging artists. Its Media Group segment consists of a diverse portfolio of media properties that educate and inform consumers on a broad range of topics.
Executives
Adam F. Wergeles officer: EVP, Gen Counsel & Secretary C/O REACHLOCAL, INC. 21700 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 1600 WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Sean P Moriarty director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O LEAF GROUP LTD., 1655 26TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Brian Gephart officer: Chief Financial Officer 1655 26TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Spectrum Equity Investors V L P 10 percent owner ONE INTERNATIONAL PLACE 29TH FL BOSTON MA 02110
Osmium Capital Ii, Lp other: May be member of 10% group 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
John Hartnett Lewis other: May be member of 10% group 388 MARKET STREET, SUITE 920, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Osmium Spartan L P other: May be member of 10% group 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Partners, Llc other: May be member of 10% group 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Capital Lp other: May be member of 10% group 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Sea V Management Llc 10 percent owner 333 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD SUITE 200 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Spectrum Equity Associates V Lp 10 percent owner 333 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD SUITE 200 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Spectrum V Investment Managers Fund Lp 10 percent owner 333 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD SUITE 200 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Osmium Diamond, Lp other: May be member of 10% group C/O OSMIUM PARTNERS, LLC, 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Brian Pike officer: CTO & COO C/O LEAF GROUP LTD. 1655 26TH STREET SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Boyle Capital Management, L.l.c. other: May be member of 10% group 1230 OFFICE PLAZA DRIVE WEST DES MOINES IA 50266-2300