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Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings (HKSE:09909) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$17.75 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-25), Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$17.75. The stock price of Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings is HK$3.21. Therefore, Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09909' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.16   Med: 0.27   Max: 0.38
Current: 0.18

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings was 0.38. The lowest was 0.16. And the median was 0.27.

HKSE:09909's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
88.15% of 1274 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.655 vs HKSE:09909: 0.18

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 16.81 17.75

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 16.81 - 17.75

Competitive Comparison of Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$578.41.

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*578.40742857143+3339.6*0.8)/634.978
=17.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings  (HKSE:09909) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.21/17.746046450524
=0.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings (HKSE:09909) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1399 Xinzhen Road, Powerlong Tower, Minhang District, Shanghai, CHN, 201101
Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings Ltd is a commercial operation service provider in China. The company provides commercial operation services for developers, tenants, and owners of retail commercial properties. It operates through two segments: Commercial operational services and Residential property management service. Its operations include market research and positioning, tenant sourcing and opening preparation services, commercial operation and management services, and property leasing services; and Property management services, consisting of pre-sale management services, property management services, and other value-added services. Its commercial operational services are provided under four brands, namely Powerlong One Mall, Powerlong City, Powerlong Plaza, and Powerlong Land.
Executives
Hoi Wa Fong 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Huihong Management (ptc) Limited
Shih Sze Ni Cecilia 2202 Interest of your spouse
Hoi Kin Hong
Powerlong Real Estate (bvi) Holdings Limited
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Limited
Skylong Holdings Limited
Wong Lai Chan

Powerlong Commercial Management Holdings (HKSE:09909) Headlines

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