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Country Garden Services Holdings Co (HKSE:06098) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$22.15 (As of May. 13, 2024)


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What is Country Garden Services Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-13), Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$22.15. The stock price of Country Garden Services Holdings Co is HK$6.00. Therefore, Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06098' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.27   Med: 0.93   Max: 2.22
Current: 0.27

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Country Garden Services Holdings Co was 2.22. The lowest was 0.27. And the median was 0.93.

HKSE:06098's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.32% of 1272 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.64 vs HKSE:06098: 0.27

Country Garden Services Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Country Garden Services Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Country Garden Services Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 21.04 20.81 22.15

Country Garden Services Holdings Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.04 - 20.81 - 22.15

Competitive Comparison of Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Country Garden Services Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$2,883.44.

Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*2883.443+39546.53*0.8)/3363.641
=22.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Country Garden Services Holdings Co  (HKSE:06098) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Country Garden Services Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.00/22.146488774967
=0.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Country Garden Services Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Country Garden Services Holdings Co (HKSE:06098) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
West Building of Country Garden Office, Beijiao Town, Shunde District, Guangdong Province, Foshan, CHN, 528312
Country Garden Services was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in June 2018 as a spinoff via introduction by sister developer Country Garden Holdings. As of June 2022, Yang Huiyan, chairperson of CGH, was also the largest shareholder of CGS with 43% ownership. CGS was the top residential property management firm in China in revenue and gross floor area under management for 2022. This is mainly ascribed to scalable projects contributed by CGH and rising acquisitions of third-party property management peers. In addition, CGS provides value-added services to developers and homeowners, and city services on public space sanitation and greening.

Country Garden Services Holdings Co (HKSE:06098) Headlines

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