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Precision Tsugami (China) (HKSE:01651) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$17.56 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Precision Tsugami (China) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-26), Precision Tsugami (China)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$17.56. The stock price of Precision Tsugami (China) is HK$10.28. Therefore, Precision Tsugami (China)'s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Precision Tsugami (China)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01651' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 0.7   Max: 0.85
Current: 0.59

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Precision Tsugami (China) was 0.85. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 0.70.

HKSE:01651's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
85.67% of 1919 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.54 vs HKSE:01651: 0.59

Precision Tsugami (China) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Precision Tsugami (China)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Precision Tsugami (China) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Precision Tsugami (China) Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 10.87 12.93 17.56

Precision Tsugami (China) Semi-Annual Data
Mar15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 12.93 - 17.56 -

Competitive Comparison of Precision Tsugami (China)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Precision Tsugami (China)'s Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Precision Tsugami (China)'s Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Precision Tsugami (China)'s Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Precision Tsugami (China)'s Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Precision Tsugami (China) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Precision Tsugami (China)'s Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$294.86.

Precision Tsugami (China)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*294.86042857143+2880.396*0.8)/380.804
=17.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Precision Tsugami (China)  (HKSE:01651) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Precision Tsugami (China)'s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=10.28/17.559492875168
=0.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Precision Tsugami (China) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Precision Tsugami (China) (HKSE:01651) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 2001 Pingcheng Road, Pinghu Economic-Technological Development Zone, Zhejiang Province, Pinghu, CHN, 314200
Precision Tsugami (China) Corp Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of computer numerical control (CNC) high precision machine tools; and the provision of commercial consultation services. It manufactures and sells CNC machine tools including Precision lathes, Precision machining centres, Precision thread and form rolling machines and Precision grinding machines under the TSUGAMI brand. The company only has one reportable operating segment which is the manufacture and sale of high precision CNC machine tools. Its products are mainly for the Chinese market and are also sold to Japan, Europe, the US, Southeast Asia and other countries.
Executives
Fmr Llc 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fil Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pandanus Associates Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pandanus Partners L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tsugami Corporation 2101 Beneficial owner

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