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Yadea Group Holdings (HKSE:01585) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$11.84 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Yadea Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-27), Yadea Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$11.84. The stock price of Yadea Group Holdings is HK$13.44. Therefore, Yadea Group Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Yadea Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01585' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 1.22   Max: 2.41
Current: 1.14

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Yadea Group Holdings was 2.41. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 1.22.

HKSE:01585's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
52.63% of 895 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.04 vs HKSE:01585: 1.14

Yadea Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Yadea Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Yadea Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Yadea Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.30 6.64 8.42 10.19 11.84

Yadea Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.42 - 10.19 - 11.84

Competitive Comparison of Yadea Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Yadea Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yadea Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Yadea Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yadea Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Yadea Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Yadea Group Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$1,896.43.

Yadea Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1896.4288571429+9188.819*0.8)/3000.423
=11.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Yadea Group Holdings  (HKSE:01585) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Yadea Group Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=13.44/11.844003272771
=1.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Yadea Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Yadea Group Holdings (HKSE:01585) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Xishan Road, Dacheng Industrial Zone, Anzhen Town, Xishan District, Jiangsu Province, Wuxi, CHN
Yadea Group Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. The company and its subsidiaries manufacture and sell electric, two-wheeled vehicles in the People's Republic of China. It is focused on designing, researching, developing, manufacturing and selling electric scooters, electric bicycles, batteries and chargers, and related accessories. The electric two-wheeled vehicles and related accessories segment is mainly engaged in the development, manufacture and sales of electric two-wheeled vehicles and related accessories and the batteries segment is mainly engaged in the production and sales of batteries of the newly acquired Huayu.
Executives
Dai Wei Investment Company Limited 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Fang Yuan Investment Company Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Dong Jinggui 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Qian Jinghong 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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