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Cocoon Holdings (HKSE:00428) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$0.04 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Cocoon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-25), Cocoon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$0.04. The stock price of Cocoon Holdings is HK$0.10. Therefore, Cocoon Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cocoon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00428' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.41   Med: 0.95   Max: 5.5
Current: 2.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cocoon Holdings was 5.50. The lowest was 0.41. And the median was 0.95.

HKSE:00428's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
76.72% of 537 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 1.06 vs HKSE:00428: 2.50

Cocoon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cocoon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cocoon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cocoon Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.08 -0.03 -0.10 -0.72 0.04

Cocoon Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.10 - -0.72 - 0.04

Competitive Comparison of Cocoon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Cocoon Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cocoon Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Cocoon Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cocoon Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cocoon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cocoon Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-13.44.

Cocoon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-13.44+186.246*0.8)/558.454
=0.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cocoon Holdings  (HKSE:00428) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cocoon Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.10/0.037681303294869
=2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cocoon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Cocoon Holdings (HKSE:00428) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
61 Connaught Road Central, Room 14A, Fortune House, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Cocoon Holdings Ltd is a Hong Kong-based investment holding company engaged in investment activities. The Group's business activity is organized into a single operating segment, being investments in securities listed on recognized stock exchanges and unlisted investments with a potential for earnings growth and capital appreciation The Group's revenue comprised dividend income, interest earned from bank deposits and loans and receivables. The group mainly operates its businesses in Hong Kong.
Executives
Yu Po Kwan 2101 Beneficial owner
Solution Smart Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Sw Venture Asia Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Yeung Shing Wai 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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