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Joy City Property (HKSE:00207) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$3.94 (As of May. 20, 2024)


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What is Joy City Property Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-20), Joy City Property's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$3.94. The stock price of Joy City Property is HK$0.255. Therefore, Joy City Property's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Joy City Property's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00207' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.05   Med: 0.33   Max: 0.82
Current: 0.06

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Joy City Property was 0.82. The lowest was 0.05. And the median was 0.33.

HKSE:00207's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
97.41% of 1274 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs HKSE:00207: 0.06

Joy City Property Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Joy City Property's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Joy City Property Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Joy City Property Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.65 3.44 3.59 4.21 3.94

Joy City Property Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.59 - 4.21 - 3.94

Competitive Comparison of Joy City Property's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Joy City Property's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Joy City Property's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Joy City Property's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Joy City Property's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Joy City Property Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Joy City Property's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$2,938.34.

Joy City Property's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.9881567514702*2938.3415714286+38848.538*0.8)/15326.426
=3.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Joy City Property  (HKSE:00207) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Joy City Property's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.255/3.9426965298231
=0.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Joy City Property Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Joy City Property (HKSE:00207) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
262 Gloucester Road, 33rd Floor, COFCO Tower, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong, HKG
Joy City Property Ltd is a large-scale commercial property developer and operator, working on the development, operation, sales, leasing and management of mixed-use complexes and other commercial properties such as shopping centers, hotels, offices, serviced apartments and resort and tourist properties in China. Rental income accounts for majority of the operating profit. The company's portfolio consists of various retail malls under the flagship brand of Joy City, and some office and hotel assets. Recently, it introduced a second brand called Joy Breeze, consisting of smaller retail assets. The businesses of the Group are divided into four areas, namely investment properties, property development, hotel operations and output management and other services.

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