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Metalico (FRA:MT5) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €1.23 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Metalico Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-05), Metalico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €1.23. The stock price of Metalico is €0.50. Therefore, Metalico's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Metalico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:MT5' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26   Med: 0.78   Max: 2.32
Current: 0.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Metalico was 2.32. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.78.

FRA:MT5's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 1.57 vs FRA:MT5: 0.41

Metalico Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Metalico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Metalico Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Metalico Annual Data
Trend Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.16 2.47 2.31 2.57 0.80

Metalico Quarterly Data
Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.51 2.59 0.80 1.24 1.29

Competitive Comparison of Metalico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Metalico's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Metalico's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Metalico's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Metalico's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Metalico Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Metalico's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €2.59.

Metalico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun15)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*2.58576+82.241*0.8)/73.690
=1.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Metalico  (FRA:MT5) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Metalico's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.50/1.2268984169193
=0.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Metalico Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Metalico (FRA:MT5) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Metalico Inc was originally organized as a Delaware corporation in August 1997. The Company along with its subsidiaries operates in two distinct business segments; scrap metal recycling and lead metal product fabricating. The Companys operating facilities include thirty-one scrap metal recycling facilities, including a combined aluminum de-oxidizing plant and four lead product manufacturing and fabricating plants. In the Scrap Metal Recycling segment, its operations mainly involves the collection and processing of ferrous and non-ferrous metals. It collects industrial and obsolete scrap metal, process it into reusable forms and supply the recycled metals to its consumers that include electric arc furnace mills, integrated steel mills, foundries, secondary smelters, aluminum recyclers and metal brokers. The Company acquires unprocessed scrap metals mainly in its local and regional markets and sells to consumers nationally and in Canada as well as to exporters and international brokers. Some of the metal commodities it recycles include steel, copper, aluminum, stainless steel, molybdenum, tantalum, platinum, lead and many others. In Lead Fabricating segment, through four physical operations located in three states, the Company consumes approximately 40 to 45 million pounds of lead metal per year that are utilized in more than one hundred different base products. Its products are sold nationally into diverse industries such as roofing, plumbing, radiation shielding for pharmaceutical and power generation, electronic solders, ammunition, automotive, Department of Defense contractors, and others. The Company sells its lead fabrications nationally. Products are sold to distributors, wholesalers, the plumbing and building trades, equipment manufacturers and other consumers. Its lead fabrication facilities compete against two fabricators of similar, but limited products based in the Southwest who distribute nationally and several smaller regional producers of similar products. To a lesser extent, it also competes against products imported from South America, Canada, Europe and Asia. The Company is subject to comprehensive and frequently changing Federal, state and local laws and regulations.

Metalico (FRA:MT5) Headlines

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