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SCG Packaging PCL (FRA:5Y7A) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €0.73 (As of May. 09, 2024)


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What is SCG Packaging PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-09), SCG Packaging PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €0.73. The stock price of SCG Packaging PCL is €0.795. Therefore, SCG Packaging PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for SCG Packaging PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:5Y7A' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.09   Med: 1.31   Max: 1.36
Current: 1.09

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of SCG Packaging PCL was 1.36. The lowest was 1.09. And the median was 1.31.

FRA:5Y7A's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
55.33% of 291 companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 0.99 vs FRA:5Y7A: 1.09

SCG Packaging PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for SCG Packaging PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SCG Packaging PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

SCG Packaging PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 0.74

SCG Packaging PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 0.72 0.74 0.75

Competitive Comparison of SCG Packaging PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, SCG Packaging PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SCG Packaging PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, SCG Packaging PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SCG Packaging PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



SCG Packaging PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get SCG Packaging PCL's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €187.39.

SCG Packaging PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*187.38848+2017.303*0.8)/4311.628
=0.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SCG Packaging PCL  (FRA:5Y7A) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

SCG Packaging PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.795/0.78806581055541
=1.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SCG Packaging PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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SCG Packaging PCL (FRA:5Y7A) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Siam Cement Road, Bangsue, Bangkok, THA, 10800
SCG Packaging PCL is an integrated packaging solutions provider. Its business is divided into three business segments: Integrated Packaging Business, Fibrous Business and Recycling Business and Others. The company's products and services include Packaging; Smart packaging; Food container products; Paper and pulp; Wood business; Design services; Service for marketing activities; and Wastepaper purchase service For recycling. Majority of the firm's revenue gets derived from the Integrated Packaging Business segment that manufactures and sells packaging paper, various types of packaging, including fiber-based packaging and performance and polymer packaging, flexible packaging, and rigid packaging. Key revenue comes from domestic sales in Thailand.

SCG Packaging PCL (FRA:5Y7A) Headlines

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