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DEO (Diageo) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $80.09 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Diageo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Diageo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $80.09. The stock price of Diageo is $124.16. Therefore, Diageo's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Diageo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DEO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.55   Med: 2.32   Max: 3.09
Current: 1.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Diageo was 3.09. The lowest was 1.55. And the median was 2.32.

DEO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
67.1% of 155 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.13 vs DEO: 1.55

Diageo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Diageo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Diageo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Diageo Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 55.33 67.96 75.80 79.06 77.79

Diageo Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 75.80 - 79.06 - 77.79

Competitive Comparison of Diageo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Diageo's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Diageo's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Diageo's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Diageo's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Diageo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Diageo's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,041.30.

Diageo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.534066072614*3041.2982857143+10032*0.8)/559.750
=77.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Diageo  (NYSE:DEO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Diageo's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=124.16/77.006048010643
=1.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Diageo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Diageo Business Description

Address
16 Great Marlborough Street, London, GBR, W1F 7HS
The product of a merger between Grand Metropolitan and Guinness in 1997, Diageo is one of the world's leading producers of branded premium spirits, approximately level with Kweichow Moutai in revenue terms. It also produces and markets beer and wine. Brands include Johnnie Walker blended scotch, Smirnoff vodka, Crown Royal Canadian whiskey, Captain Morgan rum, Casamigos tequila, Tanqueray gin, Baileys Irish Cream, and Guinness stout. Diageo also owns 34% of premium champagne and cognac maker Moet Hennessy, a subsidiary of French luxury goods maker LVMH Moet Hennessy-Louis Vuitton, and a near-56% stake in India's United Spirits.

Diageo Headlines

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