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Orascom Development EgyptE (CAI:ORHD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : E£6.59 (As of May. 18, 2024)


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What is Orascom Development EgyptE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-18), Orascom Development EgyptE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is E£6.59. The stock price of Orascom Development EgyptE is E£10.34. Therefore, Orascom Development EgyptE's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orascom Development EgyptE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CAI:ORHD' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.91   Med: 1   Max: 1.68
Current: 1.57

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Orascom Development EgyptE was 1.68. The lowest was 0.91. And the median was 1.00.

CAI:ORHD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
70.72% of 403 companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 0.86 vs CAI:ORHD: 1.57

Orascom Development EgyptE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orascom Development EgyptE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orascom Development EgyptE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Orascom Development EgyptE Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.32 5.21 6.59 7.01 6.59

Orascom Development EgyptE Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.01 4.38 3.99 5.47 6.59

Competitive Comparison of Orascom Development EgyptE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Orascom Development EgyptE's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orascom Development EgyptE's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Orascom Development EgyptE's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orascom Development EgyptE's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Orascom Development EgyptE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Orascom Development EgyptE's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = E£44.63.

Orascom Development EgyptE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.522615765129*44.63296+8618.805*0.8)/1130.599
=6.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orascom Development EgyptE  (CAI:ORHD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Orascom Development EgyptE's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=10.34/6.5929347262295
=1.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orascom Development EgyptE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Orascom Development EgyptE (CAI:ORHD) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Nile City Towers, South Tower, 9th Floor, 2005 A Corniche El Nil, Cairo, EGY, 11221
Orascom Development Egypt SAE is engaged in the development of integrated destinations in Egypt including private villas and apartments, hotels, leisure facilities and other supporting infrastructure. Its segments are Hotels, Real estate, Land sales, Town Management and Other Operations. The Hotel segment includes the provision of hospitality services in two to five-star hotels. Its Real-estate and construction segment includes an acquisition of land in undeveloped areas. The Land sales segment includes the sale of land and land rights to others. Town management consists of the provision of facilities and infrastructure services at resorts and towns. The Other segment comprises of rentals from investment properties, mortgages, hospital services, educational services, and other services.

Orascom Development EgyptE (CAI:ORHD) Headlines

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