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Retail Food Group (ASX:RFG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : A$0.08 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-21), Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.08. The stock price of Retail Food Group is A$0.071. Therefore, Retail Food Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:RFG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.17   Med: 0.64   Max: 1.61
Current: 0.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Retail Food Group was 1.61. The lowest was 0.17. And the median was 0.64.

ASX:RFG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
66.96% of 224 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.41 vs ASX:RFG: 0.89

Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Retail Food Group Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.78 0.20 0.12 0.12 0.08

Retail Food Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.12 - 0.08 -

Competitive Comparison of Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Retail Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Retail Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Retail Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Retail Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Retail Food Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$2.44.

Retail Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*2.4435714285714+199.714*0.8)/2193.489
=0.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Retail Food Group  (ASX:RFG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Retail Food Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.071/0.083444621399904
=0.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Retail Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Retail Food Group (ASX:RFG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
35 Robina Town Centre Drive, Level 4, Robina, QLD, AUS, 4226
Retail Food Group Ltd owns, operates, and franchises restaurants primarily located in Australia. Retail Food Group's brands include Donut King, Michel's Patisserie, Brumby's Bakery, Esquires Coffee Houses, Gloria Jean's Coffees, Pizza Capers Gourmet Kitchen, and Crust Gourmet Pizza. The company generates roughly half its revenue from restaurants that it directly operates. Its major source of revenue is from franchise agreements. The Group's primary revenue streams include revenue from the sales of goods, revenue from the sale of franchise agreements, revenue from the sale of distribution rights, operating lease income, and other sources. Its segment is Bakery/Café Division, QSR Division, Coffee Retail Division and Di Bella Coffee. It generates maximum revenue from Coffee Retail Division.

Retail Food Group (ASX:RFG) Headlines