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Regional Express Holdings (ASX:REX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : A$1.35 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Regional Express Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-17), Regional Express Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$1.35. The stock price of Regional Express Holdings is A$0.72. Therefore, Regional Express Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Regional Express Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:REX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.49   Med: 0.64   Max: 1.12
Current: 0.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Regional Express Holdings was 1.12. The lowest was 0.49. And the median was 0.64.

ASX:REX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
71.39% of 699 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.83 vs ASX:REX: 0.53

Regional Express Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Regional Express Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Regional Express Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Regional Express Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.18 2.04 1.60 0.94 1.35

Regional Express Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.94 - 1.35 -

Competitive Comparison of Regional Express Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Airlines subindustry, Regional Express Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Regional Express Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Regional Express Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Regional Express Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Regional Express Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Regional Express Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$2.30.

Regional Express Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.7180950547477*2.3038571428571+161.454*0.8)/112.609
=1.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Regional Express Holdings  (ASX:REX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Regional Express Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.72/1.3458276221869
=0.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Regional Express Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Regional Express Holdings (ASX:REX) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
81-83 Baxter Road, Mascot, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2020
Regional Express Holdings Ltd is an Australian-based airline company. The company is engaged in the provision of air services for the transportation of passengers and freight. Its operating segment includes Regular public transport, Charter and other, and Training. The company generates maximum revenue from the Regular public transport segment. Some of its services include Web Check-in; Print Invoices; Safe Hand Baggage; Travel Insurance and others.