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Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC (Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $3.62 (As of May. 09, 2024)


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What is Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-09), Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.62. The stock price of Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC is $1.79. Therefore, Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AERUF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.25   Med: 0.54   Max: 4.76
Current: 0.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC was 4.76. The lowest was 0.25. And the median was 0.54.

AERUF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
75.07% of 698 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs AERUF: 0.49

Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
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Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Airlines subindustry, Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $813.36.

Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*813.35968+-948.055/0.8)/1056.9
=6.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC  (OTCPK:AERUF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.79/6.2053187412068
=0.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC (Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1, Arbat Street, Moscow, RUS, 119019
Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC is Russia's largest airline group, and accounts for approximately one third of Russia's air-travel market. It provides scheduled and chartered flights. Passengers may buy tickets through websites, online booking systems, sales offices, and authorized agents. Domestic routes throughout Russia comprise the majority of total passengers. Additionally, it provides international routes to many different regions. The company's lone operating segment is passenger traffic. Outside of Russia, Europe books the next-highest number of passengers at around one fifth the total amount. The Russian Federation owns roughly half of the company.

Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC (Aeroflot Russian Airlines PJSC) Headlines

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