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United States Antimony (United States Antimony) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-0.37 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is United States Antimony Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-23), United States Antimony's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-0.37.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

United States Antimony's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for United States Antimony is N/A.

The industry rank for United States Antimony's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

UAMY's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 1.16
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

United States Antimony Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for United States Antimony's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United States Antimony Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

United States Antimony Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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United States Antimony Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of United States Antimony's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, United States Antimony's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United States Antimony's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, United States Antimony's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United States Antimony's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



United States Antimony Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> United States Antimony's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was -19.90%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.032.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

United States Antimony's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.032*11.5406
=-0.37

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-0.37-0.26)/-0.37
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


United States Antimony  (AMEX:UAMY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


United States Antimony Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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United States Antimony (United States Antimony) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
47 Cox Gulch Road, P.O. Box 643, Thompson Falls, MT, USA, 59873
United States Antimony Corp is a fully integrated mining, transportation, milling, smelting, and selling company. The company has four operating segments: United States Antimony, Mexican antimony, United States zeolite, and Precious metals. Its products and services include antimony; silver; gold; zeolite products; and storage, handling, & packaging services. The company's geographical segments are the United States, Canada, and Mexico, of which the vast majority of its revenue comes from the United States.
Executives
Lloyd Bardswich director 571 CEDAR HILLS ROAD, WHITEHALL MT 59759
Gary C Evans director 1048 TEXAN TRAIL, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
Timothy Hasara director 7733 FORSYTH BLVD, CLAYTON MO 63105
John C. Gustavsen officer: Interim CEO PO BOX 876, THOMPSON FALLS MT 59873
Daniel Lyle Parks officer: Chief Financial Officer PO BOX 2525, 538 BIG HORN DRIVE, THOMPSON FALLS MT 59873
Kenneth M Reed 10 percent owner 328 ADAMS STREET, MILTON MA 02186
Craig W Thomas director 2100 CRESCENT AVENUE, CHARLOTTE NC 28207
Whitney H. Ferer director 2910 NORTH 9TH ST., CARTER LAKE IA 51510
Jeffrey D. Wright director 9036 NE 28TH ST., CLYDE HILL WA 98004
John C Lawrence director, officer: President 4946 ROUTE 200, THOMPSON FALLS MT 59873
Bernard John Guarnera director 9213 LAS MANAITAS AVENUE, SUITE 401, LAS VEGAS NV 89144
Patrick W Dugan 10 percent owner 1415 LOUISIANA SUITE 3100, HOUSTON TX 77002
Lydia Dugan 10 percent owner 1415 LOUISIANA, SUITE 3100, HOUSTON TX 77002
Russ C Lawrence director 1500 JOHNSON ROAD, DEARY ID 83823
Gary D Babbitt director 7709 WEST PRINCE ST., BOISE ID 83714