GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Mead Johnson Nutrition Co (NYSE:MJN) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Mead Johnson Nutrition Co (Mead Johnson Nutrition Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2009. Start your Free Trial

What is Mead Johnson Nutrition Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Mead Johnson Nutrition Co is N/A%.

The industry rank for Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MJN's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 0.975
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Mead Johnson Nutrition Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mead Johnson Nutrition Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Mead Johnson Nutrition Co Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Mead Johnson Nutrition Co Quarterly Data
Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Mead Johnson Nutrition Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-89.98)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mead Johnson Nutrition Co  (NYSE:MJN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Mead Johnson Nutrition Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Mead Johnson Nutrition Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Mead Johnson Nutrition Co (Mead Johnson Nutrition Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Mead Johnson Nutrition makes, distributes, and markets pediatric nutrition products worldwide under a variety of brands, including Enfamil, its largest label, along with Sustagen, Enfagrow, and Nutramigen. Infant formula represented 59% of 2015 sales and children's nutrition 39%, with expectant and nursing mother nutrition and pediatric vitamins comprising the remainder. The company sells its products globally; 73% of sales were generated outside the United States in 2015. At about 30% of revenue, China is the company's largest market.
Executives
Kimberly A Casiano director C/O FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
James E. Shiah officer: SVP and Controller 2 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Howard B Bernick director 1100 N WOOD DALE RD, WOOD DALE IL 60191
Michael A. Sherman director 3000 KENT AVE STE A1-100, WEST LAFAYETTE IN 47906
Robert S Singer director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Celeste A. Clark director C/O ADVANCEPIERRE FOODS HOLDINGS, INC., 9987 CARVER ROAD, BLUE ASH OH 45242
Peter Gervis Ratcliffe director
Steven Altschuler director MEAD JOHNSON NUTRITION COMPANY, 2701 PATRIOT BLVD, GLENVIEW IL 60026
Patrick M Sheller officer: SVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary 343 STATE STREET, ROCHESTER NY 14650
Elliot Sigal director
James M Cornelius director
Michael Grobstein director C/O GUIDANT CORP, 111 MONUMENT CIRCLE #2900, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204-5129
Anna C Catalano director 1313 NORTH MARKET STREET, WILMINGTON DE 19894
Peter G Leemputte officer: EVP and CFO CHICAGO TITLE CORP, 171 N CLARK ST, CHICAGO IL 80601
Lynn H Clark officer: Sr. VP, Human Resources 2400 WEST LLOYD EXPRESSWAY, EVANSVILLE IL 47721

Mead Johnson Nutrition Co (Mead Johnson Nutrition Co) Headlines