GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Intuit Inc (NAS:INTU) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

INTU (Intuit) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $419.64 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1993. Start your Free Trial

What is Intuit Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-10-31), Intuit's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $419.64.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Intuit's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Intuit is -45.43%.

The industry rank for Intuit's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

INTU's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked worse than
68.24% of 296 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 0.925 vs INTU: 1.45

Intuit Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Intuit's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Intuit Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Intuit Annual Data
Trend Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 247.31 324.11 333.12 455.41 419.64

Intuit Quarterly Data
Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 455.41 377.67 444.67 437.55 419.64

Competitive Comparison of Intuit's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Intuit's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Intuit's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Intuit's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Intuit's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Intuit Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.29%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 17.10%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Intuit's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 17.10%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 17.10%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $16.314.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Intuit's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.171)/(1+0.11) = 1.054954954955
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=16.314*25.7229
=419.64

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(419.64-610.30)/419.64
=-45.43 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Intuit  (NAS:INTU) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Intuit Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Intuit's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Intuit Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Intuit Inc (NAS:INTU) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Address
2700 Coast Avenue, Mountain View, CA, USA, 94043
Intuit is a provider of small-business accounting software (QuickBooks), personal tax solutions (TurboTax), and professional tax offerings (Lacerte). Founded in the mid-1980s, Intuit controls the majority of US market share for small-business accounting and do-it-yourself tax-filing software.
Executives
Laura A Fennell officer: VP, General Counsel, Corp. Sec C/O INTUIT INC., PO BOX 7850, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94039-7850
Eve B Burton director 770 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10003
Scott D Cook director, officer: Chairman, Executive Committee C/O INTUIT INC, 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Alex G. Balazs officer: EVP, Chief Technology Officer C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Sandeep Aujla officer: EVP and CFO C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Kerry J Mclean officer: SVP, General Counsel C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Mark P. Notarainni officer: EVP, Consumer Group C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Lauren D Hotz officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Raul Vazquez director 500 STAPLES DR., FRAMINGHAM MA 01702
Sasan K Goodarzi officer: Senior Vice President C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Marianna Tessel officer: EVP, Chief Technology Officer C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
James Alexander Chriss officer: EVP and GM SBSEG C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Michelle M Clatterbuck officer: EVP and CFO C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Ryan Roslansky director C/O GODADDY INC., 2155 E. GODADDY WAY, TEMPE AZ 85284
Eric S. Yuan director C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113