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Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund (Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of Jun. 01, 2024)


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What is Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-06-01), Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund is N/A%.

The industry rank for Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CUBA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 1.06
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Annual Data
Trend Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-2.515)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund  (NAS:CUBA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund (Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
119 Washington Avenue, Suite 504, Miami Beach, FL, USA, 33139
Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Inc operates as a closed-end management investment company. The company's investment objective is to obtain long-term capital appreciation. The firm offers customized discretionary account management and fund management services to individual and institutional investors. The fund invests in equity and equity-linked securities of public and private companies, including United States-based companies, whose securities are traded principally on a stock exchange in a Caribbean Basin Country. The fund's revenue source is through the dividends it receives. Its investments are geographically allocated in the United States followed by Puerto Rico, Mexico, and other countries.
Executives
Thomas J Herzfeld director, officer: President THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC, 119 WASHINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Erik Mervin Herzfeld officer: Portfolio Manager THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE. SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Ryan M Paylor other: Portfolio Manager THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE., SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Cecilia L Gondor officer: Secretary/Treasurer THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC, 119 WASHINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Phillip Goldstein 10 percent owner 60 HERITAGE DRIVE, PLEASANTVILLE NY 10570
Zachary Paul Richmond officer: Treasurer C/O ULTIMUS FUND SOLUTIONS, LLC, 225 PICTORIA DRIVE, SUITE 450, CINCINNATI OH 45246
Alice Tham officer: Secretary C/O THOMAS J. HERZFELD ADVISORS, INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE., SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Thomas K Morgan officer: CCO C/O THOMAS J. HERZFELD ADVISORS, INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Jose Raphael Oro other: Access Person 17 OLD ORCHARD ROAD, NORTH HAVEN CT 06473
Teofilo Abraham Babun other: Access Person 119 WASHINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Kay W Tatum director 122 SEVILLA AVE, APT 1713, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Lee Reanna J.m. officer: Secretary/Treasurer/CCO 119 WASHINGTON AVE, STE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
John A Gelety director THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE., SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Ann S Lieff director THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE., SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Michael A Rubin director 420 SOUTH DIXIE HIGHWAY, STE 4-B, CORAL GABLES FL 33176