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Team Health Holdings (Team Health Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $3.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Team Health Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Team Health Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $3.00.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Team Health Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Team Health Holdings is -1,350.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Team Health Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TMH's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.77
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Team Health Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Team Health Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Team Health Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Team Health Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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Team Health Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Team Health Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, Team Health Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Team Health Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Team Health Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Team Health Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Team Health Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Team Health Holdings's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.260.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Team Health Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.260*11.5406
=3.00

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(3-43.50)/3
=-1,350.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Team Health Holdings  (NYSE:TMH) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Team Health Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Team Health Holdings (Team Health Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Team Health Holdings Inc was founded in 1979. It is the suppliers of outsourced healthcare professional staffing and administrative services to hospitals and other healthcare providers in the United States, based upon revenues and patient visits. It serves approximately 3,400 civilian and military hospitals, clinics and physician groups in 47 states with a team of more than 18,000 affiliated healthcare professionals, including physicians, physician assistants, nurse practitioners and nurses. It recruits and contracts with healthcare professionals who then provide professional services within third-party healthcare facilities. It is a physician-founded organization with physician leadership throughout its business and since its inception in 1979; it provided outsourced services in hospital emergency departments, or EDs. It also provides comprehensive programs for hospital medicine, anesthesiology, pediatrics and other healthcare services, by providing permanent staffing that enables the management teams of hospitals and other healthcare facilities to outsource certain management, recruiting, hiring, payroll, billing and collection and benefits functions. The range of services that it provides to its clients include: recruiting, scheduling & credential coordination for clinical and non-clinical medical professionals; coding, billing & collection of fees for services provided by medical professionals; provision of experienced medical directors; administrative support services, such as payroll, professional liability insurance coverage, continuing medical education services & management training; risk & claims management services and standardized procedures. Healthcare facilities seek third-party physician staffing and administrative service providers that not only could improve department quality, productivity and patient satisfaction while reducing overall costs, but also offer a breadth of staffing and management services, billing & reimbursement expertise, a reputation for regulatory compliance, financial stability and a demonstrated ability to recruit & retain qualified physicians and technicians & nurses. It competes against local physician groups and self-operated hospital EDs. Its operations and relationships with healthcare providers such as hospitals are subject to increasing regulations by numerous federal, state and local governmental entities.
Executives
Jana Partners Llc director 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Scott Ostfeld director 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Kenneth H Paulus director 5420 FELTL ROAD, MINNETONKA MN 55343
James L Bierman director 9120 LOCKWOOD BOULEVARD, MECHANICSVILLE VA 23116
Glenn A. Davenport director TEAM HEALTH HOLDINGS, 1900 WINSTON ROAD, SUITE 300, KNOXVILLE TN 37919
Vicky B Gregg director 1 CAMERON HILL CIRCLE, CHATTANOOGA TN 37402
Edwin M Crawford director 3000 GALLERIA TOWER, STE 1000, BIRMINGHAM AL 35244
Michael D Snow director, officer: President and CEO 23 MAYMONT WAY, THE WOODLANDS TX 77382
Joseph L Herring director 210 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Greg Roth other: Consultant ONE PARK PLAZA, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Steven B Epstein director
Blackstone Holdings Iii Gp Management L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Holdings Iii Gp L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Management Associates Iv Llc 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Holdings Iii L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154

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