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Omega Protein (Omega Protein) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $9.46 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Omega Protein Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Omega Protein's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $9.46.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Omega Protein's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Omega Protein is -132.56%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Omega Protein's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

OME's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 0.85
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Omega Protein Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Omega Protein's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Omega Protein Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Omega Protein Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.14 15.52 9.10 11.45 15.52

Omega Protein Quarterly Data
Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.77 15.52 14.45 15.20 8.78

Competitive Comparison of Omega Protein's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Omega Protein's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Omega Protein's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Omega Protein's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Omega Protein's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Omega Protein Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.48%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Omega Protein's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.820.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Omega Protein's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.820*11.5406
=9.46

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(9.46-22.00)/9.46
=-132.56 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Omega Protein  (NYSE:OME) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Omega Protein Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Omega Protein (Omega Protein) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Omega Protein Corp is a nutritional ingredient company. It develops, produces and delivers healthy products throughout the world to improve nutritional integrity of foods, dietary supplements and animal feeds.
Executives
Celeste A. Clark director C/O ADVANCEPIERRE FOODS HOLDINGS, INC., 9987 CARVER ROAD, BLUE ASH OH 45242
David H Clarke director 777 SOUTH FLAGLER DRIVE SUITE 1108, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Michael Christodolou director 2707 N 108TH STREET 102, C/O LINDSAY INTERNATIONAL, OMAHA NE 68164
Mark A Livingston officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 2105 CITY WEST BLVD., SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77042
Andrew Johannesen officer: Executive VP and CFO 2105 CITY WEST BLVD., SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77042
Nicodemus Harry O Iv director 5051 WESTHEIMER, SUITE 725, HOUSTON TX 77056
Marxe Austin W & Greenhouse David M 10 percent owner C/O SPECIAL SITUATIONS FUNDS, 527 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 2600, NEW YORK NY 10022
Harbinger Group Inc. 10 percent owner 3001 DEMING WAY, MIDDLETON WI 53562
Leonard Disalvo director 100 MERIDIAN CENTRE, SUITE 350, ROCHESTER NY 14614

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