GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Industrias Bachoco SAB de CV (OTCPK:IBAAY) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

Industrias BachocoB de CV (Industrias BachocoB de CV) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $0.77 (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Industrias BachocoB de CV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-06-07), Industrias BachocoB de CV's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $0.77.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Industrias BachocoB de CV's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Industrias BachocoB de CV is -7,497.40%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Industrias BachocoB de CV's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

IBAAY' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31   Med: 0.53   Max: 75.97
Current: 75.97

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Industrias BachocoB de CV was 75.97. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 0.53.

IBAAY's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 0.895 vs IBAAY: 75.97

Industrias BachocoB de CV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Industrias BachocoB de CV's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Industrias BachocoB de CV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Industrias BachocoB de CV Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.17 78.19 90.72 117.88 63.58

Industrias BachocoB de CV Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 132.55 63.58 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Industrias BachocoB de CV's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Farm Products subindustry, Industrias BachocoB de CV's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Industrias BachocoB de CV's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Industrias BachocoB de CV's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Industrias BachocoB de CV's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Industrias BachocoB de CV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 16%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 9.85%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 7.80%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Industrias BachocoB de CV's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 7.80%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 7.80%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.080.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Industrias BachocoB de CV's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.078)/(1+0.16) = 0.92931034482759
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.16) = 0.89655172413793

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.080*9.5972
=0.77

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(0.77-58.50)/0.77
=-7,497.40 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Industrias BachocoB de CV  (OTCPK:IBAAY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Industrias BachocoB de CV Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Industrias BachocoB de CV (Industrias BachocoB de CV) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenida Tecnologico 401, Ciudad Industrial, Celaya, GTO, MEX, 38010
Industrias Bachoco SAB de CV produces, processes, markets, and sells poultry (chicken and eggs) in both Mexico and the United States. Additionally, it sells feed, swine, beef, turkey, and other products on a smaller scale. The company's poultry business begins with purchasing infant birds and raising the birds to maturity. Industrias Bachoco operates its own feed mills to produce balanced feed for internal use, and to sell to third parties. Several production facilities and distribution centers are located throughout Mexico and the United States to minimize transportation costs, and the company sells through wholesalers, supermarkets, retail, and other niche marketing channels. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Poultry segment.

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