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AVGO (Broadcom) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $141.91 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-10-31), Broadcom's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $141.91.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Broadcom's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Broadcom is -19.63%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AVGO' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 0.44   Max: 1.24
Current: 1.2

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Broadcom was 1.24. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.44.

AVGO's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
57.64% of 144 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 1.04 vs AVGO: 1.20

Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Broadcom Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 64.58 103.59 117.60 117.34 132.03

Broadcom Quarterly Data
Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 143.18 132.03 147.65 136.09 141.91

Competitive Comparison of Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Broadcom's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Broadcom's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Broadcom's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Broadcom's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.28%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Broadcom's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 26.10%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $4.541.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=4.541*31.2501
=141.91

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(141.91-169.77)/141.91
=-19.63 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Broadcom  (NAS:AVGO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Broadcom Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Broadcom Inc (NAS:AVGO) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Address
3421 Hillview Avenue, Palo Alto, CA, USA, 94304
Broadcom is the sixth-largest semiconductor company globally and has expanded into various software businesses, with over $30 billion in annual revenue. It sells 17 core semiconductor product lines across wireless, networking, broadband, storage, and industrial markets. It is primarily a fabless designer but holds some manufacturing in-house, like for its best-of-breed FBAR filters that sell into the Apple iPhone. In software, it sells virtualization, infrastructure, and security software to large enterprises, financial institutions, and governments.Broadcom is the product of consolidation. Its businesses are an amalgamation of former companies like legacy Broadcom and Avago Technologies in chips, as well as Brocade, CA Technologies, and Symantec in software.
Executives
Charlie B Kawwas officer: SVP & Chief Sales Officer C/O AVAGO TECHNOLOGIES U.S. INC., 350 WEST TRIMBLE ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Hock E Tan director, officer: President and CEO BROADCOM INC., 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Justine Lien director 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Mark David Brazeal officer: Chief Legal Officer 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Kirsten M. Spears officer: Principal Accounting Officer 1320 RIDDER PARK, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Kenneth Hao director C/O SILVER LAKE PARTNERS, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Eddy W Hartenstein director
Harry L. You director EMC CORPORATION, 176 SOUTH STREET, HOPKINTON MA 01748
Check Kian Low director 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Raul J Fernandez director 11600 SUNRISE VALLEY DR, RESTON VA 20191
Gayla J Delly director 3000 TECHNOLOGY DR, ANGLETON TX 77515
Diane M Bryant director 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Thomas H. Krause officer: Chief Financial Officer 1320 RIDDER PARK, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Henry Samueli director, officer: Chief Technical Officer 5300 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617-3038
Bryan Ingram officer: SVP & GM, Wireless Semicon Div C/O AVAGO TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED, 350 WEST TRIMBLE ROAD, BLDG. 90, SAN JOSE CA 95131