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Apollo Residential Mortgage (Apollo Residential Mortgage) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $ (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Apollo Residential Mortgage Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-06-06), Apollo Residential Mortgage's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Apollo Residential Mortgage's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Apollo Residential Mortgage is

The historical rank and industry rank for Apollo Residential Mortgage's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AMTGPRA.PFD's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 1.32
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Apollo Residential Mortgage Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Apollo Residential Mortgage's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Apollo Residential Mortgage Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Apollo Residential Mortgage Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
- - - - -

Apollo Residential Mortgage Quarterly Data
Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Apollo Residential Mortgage's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Apollo Residential Mortgage's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Apollo Residential Mortgage's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Apollo Residential Mortgage's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Apollo Residential Mortgage's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Apollo Residential Mortgage Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.29%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Apollo Residential Mortgage's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-24.84)/

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Apollo Residential Mortgage  (NYSE:AMTGPRA.PFD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Apollo Residential Mortgage Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Apollo Residential Mortgage's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Apollo Residential Mortgage (Apollo Residential Mortgage) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Apollo Residential Mortgage Inc was incorporated in Maryland on March 15, 2011 and began operations on July 27, 2011, coinciding with the initial public offering of its common stock. The Company is a real estate investment trust mainly engaged in investing and managing residential mortgage-backed securities, residential mortgage loans and other residential mortgage assets in the United State. It is structured as a holding company and conducts its business mainly through ARM Operating, LLC and its other operating subsidiaries. The Company is an alternative investment manager. It currently operates as one business segment. The Company competes with other REITs, specialty finance companies, savings and loan associations, banks, mortgage bankers, insurance companies, mutual funds, institutional investors, investment banking firms, financial institutions, governmental bodies and other entities.
Executives
Gregory W. Hunt officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary 730 5TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10019
James Galowski director C/O APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Teresa D Covello officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary C/O MFA MORTGAGE INVESTMENTS, INC., 350 PARK AVENUE, 21ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael A Commaroto officer: CEO and President C/O APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Stuart Rothstein officer: CFO,Treasurer & Secretary 2180 SAND HILL RD, STE 200, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Thomas Christopoul director RESOURCES CONNECTION INC, 17101 ARMSTRONG AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92614
Hope S Taitz director C/O ATHENE HOLDING LTD., WASHINGTON HOUSE, 16 CHURCH STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM 11
Fred J Kleisner director C/O MORGANS HOTEL GROUP CO., 475 TENTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10018
Frederick N Khedouri director C/O APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Mark C Biderman director NATIONAL FINANCIAL PARTNERS CORP, 340 MADISON AVENUE, 19TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10173
Marc Becker director C/O APOLLO MANAGEMENT LP, 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMEICAS 38TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10019
Justin Stevens director C/O APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019

Apollo Residential Mortgage (Apollo Residential Mortgage) Headlines

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