GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Varian Medical Systems Inc (NYSE:VAR) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Varian Medical Systems (Varian Medical Systems) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 06, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1976. Start your Free Trial

What is Varian Medical Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Varian Medical Systems's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Varian Medical Systems's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Varian Medical Systems is

The historical rank and industry rank for Varian Medical Systems's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

VAR's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 1.56
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Varian Medical Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Varian Medical Systems's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Varian Medical Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Varian Medical Systems Annual Data
Trend Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Varian Medical Systems Quarterly Data
Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Varian Medical Systems's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, Varian Medical Systems's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Varian Medical Systems's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Varian Medical Systems's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Varian Medical Systems's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Varian Medical Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.49%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Varian Medical Systems's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 177.07) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Varian Medical Systems  (NYSE:VAR) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Varian Medical Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Varian Medical Systems's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Varian Medical Systems (Varian Medical Systems) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3100 Hansen Way, Palo Alto, CA, USA, 94304-1038
Varian Medical Systems designs, manufactures, and sells radiation technology for use in two business segments: oncology systems and proton therapy. The Americas account for the largest portion of revenue (47%), followed by Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (33%) and Asia-Pacific (19%).
Executives
Jesse Michael Bruff officer: SVP Finance, CFO 3100 HANSEN WAY, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Magnus Momsen officer: SVP, CAO, Corporate Controller VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC. 3100 HANSEN WAY MAIL STOP E327 PALO ALTO CA 94304
Dow R Wilson director, officer: President and CEO VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC, 3100 HANSEN WAY MAIL STOP E327, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Kolleen T Kennedy officer: Pres. Proton Solutions, CGO VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC, 3100 HANSEN WAY MAIL STOP E327, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Christopher A. Toth officer: SVP and Pres. Oncology Systems 1252 COOLIDGE AVE., SAN JOSE CA 95125
Michael Damon Hutchinson officer: SVP,Chief Legal Officer, Secy 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Jean Luc Butel director ONE BAXTER PARKWAY, DEERFIELD IL 60015
John W Kuo officer: SVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC, 3100 HANSEN WAY MAIL STOP E327, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Judy Bruner director C/O SANDISK CORPORATION, 601 MCCARTHY BLVD., MILPITAS CA 95035
Beau Michelle Le director 800 N. MICHIGAN AVENUE #3703 CHICAGO IL 60611
Anat Ashkenazi director LILLY CORPORATE CENTER, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46285
Jeffrey R. Balser director 3657 RICHLAND AVE., NASHVILLE TN 37205
Regina E Dugan director VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC, 3100 HANSEN WAY MAIL STOP E327, PALO ALTO CA 94304
David J Illingworth director 3100 HANSEN WAY PALO ALTO CA 94304
R Andrew Eckert director THREE RAVINIA DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30346

Varian Medical Systems (Varian Medical Systems) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Varian Announces CEO Succession Plan

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 03-02-2021