TECO Energy (TECO Energy) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $11.11 (As of May. 06, 2024)

View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is TECO Energy Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), TECO Energy's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $11.11.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

TECO Energy's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for TECO Energy is -148.78%.

The historical rank and industry rank for TECO Energy's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TE's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 1.17
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

TECO Energy Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for TECO Energy's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TECO Energy Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

TECO Energy Annual Data

Trend

Dec06

Dec07

Dec08

Dec09

Dec10

Dec11

Dec12

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Get a 7-Day Free Trial

TECO Energy Quarterly Data
	Jun11	Sep11	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13	Jun13	Sep13	Dec13	Mar14	Jun14	Sep14	Dec14	Mar15	Jun15	Sep15	Dec15	Mar16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of TECO Energy's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, TECO Energy's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

TECO Energy's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, TECO Energy's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TECO Energy's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

TECO Energy Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.51%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> TECO Energy's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.963.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

TECO Energy's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

0.963

11.5406

11.11

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(11.11	-	27.64)	/	11.11
	=	-148.78 %

TECO Energy (NYSE:TE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

TECO Energy Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TECO Energy's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

TECO Energy (TECO Energy) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Utilities » Utilities - Regulated » TECO Energy Inc (NYSE:TE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.tecoenergy.com

TECO Energy Inc was incorporated in Florida in 1981 as part of a restructuring in which it became the parent corporation of Tampa Electric Company. The Company is an energy-related holding company with five core businesses, consisting of regulated electric and gas utility operations in Florida and other operating companies engaged in coal mining and synthetic fuel production, waterborne transportation services and unregulated electric generation with long-term contracts and regulated electricity distribution in Guatemala. In 2000 and 2001, the Company announced a series of investments in unregulated domestic power generation facilities outside of Florida, which were made in the 2000 through 2003 period. In the same period, the Company also invested in other smaller unregulated energy service providers within Florida. These investments were made in anticipation of a movement toward competitive energy markets in Florida and other states in which the Company was investing in new power plants. In 2003, the Company announced its revised business strategy, which was to focus on its Florida utilities and other profitable operating companies and to reduce the risk to cash flow and earnings from its involvement in the merchant power sector. Since that announcement, the Company has taken a number of steps that have eliminated its merchant power risk and improved its financial results. The Company's regulated utility companies, Tampa Electric and Peoples Gas operate in the high-growth Florida market. Tampa Electric serves almost 720,000 retail customers in a 2,000-square-mile service area in West Central Florida and has electric generating plants with a winter peak generating capacity of 4,730 MW. PGS, Florida's largest gas distribution utility, serves more than 360,000 residential, commercial, industrial and electric power generating customers in all major metropolitan areas of the state, with a total natural gas throughput of almost 1.8 billion therms in 2015.. Peoples Gas System, a division of Tampa Electric Company, is engaged in the purchase and distribution of natural gas for residential, commercial, industrial and electric power generation customers in Florida. The Company's other energy-related operating companies are: TECO Coal, TECO Transport and TECO Guatemala. TECO Coal, through its subsidiaries, operates 13 surface and 27 underground mines and related coal processing facilities in eastern Kentucky, Tennessee and southwestern Virginia producing metallurgical-grade and high-quality steam coals. TECO Transport, the Company's waterborne transportation company, through its subsidiaries, operates a fleet of inland river barges and towboats on the Ohio, Mississippi and Illinois rivers and their tributaries; a fleet of eight oceangoing tug-barge combination units and three ships that operate in the Gulf of Mexico and world wide; and a dry-bulk storage and transfer terminal located on the Mississippi River southeast of New Orleans. TECO

Executives

Sherrill W Hudson	director	201 SOUTH BISCAYNE BOULEVARD, 34TH FLOOR, MIAMI CENTER, MIAMI FL 33131
Paul L Whiting	director	2910 BAY TO BAY BLVD #200, TAMPA FL 33629
Evelyn V Follit	director	200 TAYLOR ST STE 400, FORTH WORTH TX 76102
Dubose Ausley	director	C/O TECO ENERGY INC, P O BOX 111, TAMPA FL 336010111
William P Sovey	director	5349 WINDING CREEK ROAD, ROCKFORD IL 61114
Shirley M Payne	officer: VP-Corp Accounting and Tax	C/O TECO ENERGY INC, P O BOX 111, TAMPA FL 336010111
Ira D Hall	director	C/O TECO ENERGY INC, P O BOX 111, TAMPA FL 336010111