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Pepco Holdings (Pepco Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $13.40 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Pepco Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Pepco Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $13.40.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Pepco Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Pepco Holdings is -100.97%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pepco Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

POM's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 1.17
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Pepco Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pepco Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pepco Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Pepco Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Pepco Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Pepco Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Pepco Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pepco Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Pepco Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pepco Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Pepco Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.49%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Pepco Holdings's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.161.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Pepco Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.161*11.5406
=13.40

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (13.4 - 26.93) / 13.4
= -100.97 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Pepco Holdings  (NYSE:POM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Pepco Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pepco Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Pepco Holdings (Pepco Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Pepco Holdings Inc was incorporated in Delaware in 2001, for the purpose of effecting the acquisition of Conectiv by Potomac Electric Power Company. Pepco Holdings, Inc. is a public utility holding Company that, through its operating subsidiaries, is engaged in two principal business operations: electricity and natural gas delivery, and competitive energy generation, marketing and supply. Pepco is engaged in the transmission and distribution of electricity in Washington, D.C. and portions of Prince George's and Montgomery Counties in suburban Maryland. Pepco was incorporated in Washington, D.C. in 1896 and became a domestic Virginia corporation in 1949. PHI, through its subsidiaries, is subject to regulation by various federal, regional, state, and local authorities with respect to the environmental effects of its operations, including air and water quality control, solid and hazardous waste disposal, and limitations on land use. Pepco Energy Services sells retail electricity and natural gas and provides integrated energy management services in the mid-Atlantic region, and its subsidiaries own and operate generation plants located in PJM. Pepco Energy Services also provides high voltage construction and maintenance services to utilities and other customers throughout the United States and low voltage electric and telecommunication construction and maintenance services in the Washington, D.C. area. PHI's business is to remain a regional diversified energy delivery utility and competitive energy services Company focused on value creation and operational excellence.
Executives
Laura L. Monica officer: VICE PRESIDENT 1025 LAUREL OAK ROAD, VOORHEES NJ 08043
Joseph M Rigby director, officer: CHAIRMAN, PRESIDENT AND CEO SOUTH JERSEY INDUSTRIES, 1 SOUTH JERSEY PLAZA, FOLSOM NJ 08037
Terence C Golden director BAILEY CAPITAL CORPORATION, SUITE 601, 1156 - 15TH STREET, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20005
David M Velazquez officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT CONECTIV ENERGY, 500 N WAKEFIELD DRIVE, NEWARK DE 19702
Lawrence C Nussdorf director CLARK ENTERPRISES, INC., 7500 OLD GEORGETOWN RD., 15TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814-6195
Dunn Jack B Iv director 500 EAST PRATT STREET, C/O FTI CONSULTING, INC., BALTIMORE MD 21202
Patricia A. Oelrich director 62 ETTL CIRCLE, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Paul M Barbas director C/O DPL INC., 1065 WOODMAN DRIVE, DAYTON OH 45432
Patrick T Harker director C/O GOLDMAN SACHS HEDGE FUND STRATEGIES, 32 OLD SLIP, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Frank K Ross director 1115 30TH STREET NW, WASHINGTON DC 07002
George F Maccormack director PEPCO HOLDINGS, INC., 701 NINTH STREET, NW, SUITE 1300, WASHINGTON DC 20068
Dennis R Wraase director, officer: Chairman of the Board C/O NORTHEAST UTILITIES, 300 CADWELL DRIVE, SPRINGFIELD MA 01104
Paul H Barry officer: Sr. VP & CFO 701 NINTH STREET NW, WASHINGTON DC 20068
Thomas S Shaw officer: Exec. VP & COO C/O CONECTIV, 800 KING ST PO BOX 231, WILMINGTON DE 19899
Cronin Edmund B Jr director WRIT, SUITE 800, 6110 EXECUTIVE BOULEVARD, ROCKVILLE MD 20852