Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide (Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $19.11 (As of May. 06, 2024)

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What is Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $19.11.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide is -303.19%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

HOT's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Travel & Leisure industry.
Industry Median: 1.04
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Annual Data

Trend

Dec06

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Dec09

Dec10

Dec11

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Dec15

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Quarterly Data
	Sep11	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13	Jun13	Sep13	Dec13	Mar14	Jun14	Sep14	Dec14	Mar15	Jun15	Sep15	Dec15	Mar16	Jun16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Lodging subindustry, Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.656.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

1.656

11.5406

19.11

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(19.11	-	77.05)	/	19.11
	=	-303.19 %

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide (NYSE:HOT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide (Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc (NYSE:HOT) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.starwoodhotels.com

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc was incorporated in 1980 under the laws of Maryland. It operates as a hotel and leisure company. The Company conducts its hotel and leisure business both directly and through its subsidiaries. It has 1,222 properties providing approximately 354,200 rooms in approximately 100 countries and 180,400 employees under its management at its owned and managed properties, vacation ownership resorts and corporate offices. The Company manage and operate its hotel business in three separate hotel segments: the Americas, Europe, Africa and the Middle East ("EAME"), and Asia Pacific. Its vacation ownership and residential business is a separate segment. It franchises its Luxury Collection, Westin, Le MÃ©ridien, Sheraton, Four Points by Sheraton, Aloft and Element brands and generally derive licensing and other fees from franchisees based on a fixed percentage of the franchised hotel's room revenue, as well as fees for other services, including centralized reservations, loyalty program, national and international advertising and sales and marketing. The Company's brands name includes St. Regis, The Luxury Collection, W, Westin, Le MÃ©ridien, Sheraton, Four Points, Aloft, and Element. Some of its competitors are private management firms, several are national and international chains that own and operate their own hotels, as well as manage hotels for third-party owners and sell VOIs, under a variety of brands that compete directly with its brands. It is subject to taxation at the federal, state or provincial and local levels in the U.S. and various other countries and jurisdictions.

Executives

Charlene Barshefsky	director
Lizanne Galbreath	director	LASALLE PARTNERS INC, 200 RANDOLPH DR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Kenneth S Siegel	officer: CAO & General Counsel	40 STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS, 111 WESTCHESTER AVE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Thomas B Mangas	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O ARMSTRONG WORLD INDUSTRIES, INC., 2500 COLUMBIA AVENUE, LANCASTER PA 17603
Sergio Rivera	officer: President, The Americas	C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE,, ONE STARPOINT, STAMFORD CT 06902
Stephen R Quazzo	director	C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 44 SOUTH BROADWAY, WHITE PLAINS NY 10601
Daley Clayton C Jr	director	C/O THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY,, ONE PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Thomas E Clarke	director	C/O NEWELL RUBBERMAID INC, THREE GLENLAKE PKWY., ATLANTA 2Q 30328
Thomas O Ryder	director	C/O READERS DIGEST ASSOCITATION INC, READERS DIGEST RD., PLEASANTVILLE NY 10570
Aylwin B Lewis	director	111 N. CANAL, SUITE 850, CHICAGO IL 60606
Eric Hippeau	director	STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 44 SOUTH BROADWAY, WHITE PLAINS NY 10601
Bruce W Duncan	director	ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Adam M Aron	director, officer: CEO on an interim basis	AMC ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS, INC, 11500 ASH STREET, LEAWOOD KS 66211
Van Paasschen Frits D	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 1111 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Vasant M Prabhu	officer: Vice Chairman & CFO	C/O SAFEWAY INC, 5918 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588