Hawaiian Electric Industries (Hawaiian Electric Industries) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $21.18 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)

View and export this data going back to 1983. Start your Free Trial

What is Hawaiian Electric Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-30), Hawaiian Electric Industries's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $21.18.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Hawaiian Electric Industries's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Hawaiian Electric Industries is 52.79%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hawaiian Electric Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

HE's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 1.16
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Hawaiian Electric Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hawaiian Electric Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hawaiian Electric Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Hawaiian Electric Industries Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Get a 7-Day Free Trial

Hawaiian Electric Industries Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Hawaiian Electric Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Hawaiian Electric Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Hawaiian Electric Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Hawaiian Electric Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hawaiian Electric Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Hawaiian Electric Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Hawaiian Electric Industries's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 0.20%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.8351.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Hawaiian Electric Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

1.8351

11.5406

21.18

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(21.18	-	10.00)	/	21.18
	=	52.79 %

Hawaiian Electric Industries (NYSE:HE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Hawaiian Electric Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hawaiian Electric Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Hawaiian Electric Industries (Hawaiian Electric Industries) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Utilities » Utilities - Regulated » Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc (NYSE:HE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

GNE VIA SUME MGEE PNM POR IDA NEE SO DUK LSE:NG. AEP PCG D BOM:532555 EXC PEG BOM:532898 ED XEL

Traded in Other Exchanges

HWI:Germany HWI:Germany

Address

1001 Bishop Street, Suite 2900, Honolulu, HI, USA, 96813

Website

https://www.hei.com

Hawaiian Electric Industries is the parent company of three Hawaii-based regulated utilities and Hawaii's American Savings Bank. The utilities provide electricity on the five islands of Oahu, Hawaii, Maui, Molokai, and Lanai. Nearly 40% of electricity in its service territory comes from renewable energy; this portion is growing rapidly as the state has set a goal of 100% by 2045.

Executives

Scott Deghetto	officer: EVP, CFO & Treasurer	P.O. BOX 730, HONOLULU HI 96808
Bruce Tamashiro	officer: Controller, PAO	P.O. BOX 730, HONOLULU HI 96808
Keith P Russell	director	200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 2100, IRVINE CA 92618
Yoko Otani	director	P.O. BOX 730, HONOLULU HI 96808
Michael J. Kennedy	director	P.O. BOX 730, HONOLULU HI 96808
Elisia Flores	director	PO BOX 730, HONOLULU HI 96808
Gregory C Hazelton	officer: SVP - Finance	220 NW SECOND AVENUE, PORTLAND OR 97209
Lau Constance H	director, officer: President	C/O HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES, INC., P O BOX 730, HONOLULIU HI 96808
Ann Teranishi	officer: Pres & CEO, Amer Savings Bank	P.O. BOX 730, HONOLULU HI 96813
Kimura Shelee M.t.	officer: Pres & CEO, Hawn Electric Co.	C/O P.O. BOX 730, HONOLULU HI 96808
Valueact Spring Master Fund, L.p.	director, other: See Remarks	ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE, BUILDING D, 4TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Valueact Spring Master Fund A, L.p.	director, other: See Remarks	ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE, BUILDING D, FOURTH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Richard F Wacker	officer: Pres & CEO, Amer Savings Bank
Seu Scott W.h.	officer: Pres & CEO, Hawn Electric	C/O P.O. BOX 730, HONOLULU HI 96808
Valueact Capital Management, Llc	director, other: See Remarks	ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE, BUILDING D, 4TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129