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Designer Brands (Designer Brands) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $15.89 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Designer Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-23), Designer Brands's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $15.89.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Designer Brands's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Designer Brands is 41.66%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Designer Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DBI's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry.
Industry Median: 1.11
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Designer Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Designer Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Designer Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Designer Brands Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Designer Brands Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Designer Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Designer Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Designer Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Designer Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Designer Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Designer Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Designer Brands's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 26.00%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.5085.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Designer Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.5085*31.2501
=15.89

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (15.89 - 9.27) / 15.89
= 41.66 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Designer Brands  (NYSE:DBI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Designer Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Designer Brands (Designer Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
810 DSW Drive, Columbus, OH, USA, 43219
Designer Brands Inc is a designer, producer and retailer of footwear and accessories. The company operates in three reportable segments: the U.S. Retail segment, the Canada Retail segment, and the Brand Portfolio segment. The U.S. Retail segment operates the DSW Designer Shoe Warehouse banner through its direct-to-consumer U.S. stores and e-commerce site. The Canada Retail segment operates The Shoe Company and DSW banners through its direct-to-consumer Canada stores and e-commerce sites. The Brand Portfolio segment earns revenue from the sale of wholesale products to retailers, commissions for serving retailers as the design and buying agent for products under private labels and the sale of branded products through its direct-to-consumer e-commerce site at www.vincecamuto.com.
Executives
Deborah L Ferree officer: Pres. & Chief Mdsing Officer 4150 EAST FIFTH AVE., COLUMBUS OH 43219
Mark Haley officer: SVP, Controller & PAO 4055 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., STE. 210, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
William L Jordan officer: SVP, General Counsel 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
James S. Weinberg officer: EVP; Chief Merchandising Ofcr 810 DSW DR,, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Jared A. Poff officer: SVP, Finance & Interim CFO DSW INC., 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Mary Turner officer: EVP; President, Shoe Company 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Harvey L Sonnenberg other: Director Nominee 399 THORNALL STREET, EDISON NJ 08837
Laura Denk officer: EVP;Pres DSW Designer ShoeWhse 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Tami Fersko director 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Richard A. Paul director 80 PINE STREET, SUITE 3202, NEW YORK NY 10005
Joanne Zaiac director DSW INC., 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Joanna T Lau director 30 MONUMENT SQUARE, SUITE 220, CONCORD MA 01742
Douglas M. Howe officer: EVP, President of DSW N56 W17000 RIDGEWOOD DRIVE, MENOMONEE FALLS WI 53051-5660
Jay L Schottenstein director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO 1800 MOLER ROAD, COLUMBUS OH 43207
Joseph A. Schottenstein director 4300 EAST FIFTH AVENUE, COLUMBUS OH 43219

Designer Brands (Designer Brands) Headlines